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Minnesota’s Economic Status Report GWDC Quarterly Meeting Duluth, August 2009. Oriane Casale Assistant Director Labor Market Information Office DEED. Labor Market Information Office www.deed.state.mn.us/lmi. The recession continues…. Minnesota’s economy began to slow before nation
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Minnesota’s Economic Status ReportGWDC Quarterly MeetingDuluth, August 2009 Oriane Casale Assistant Director Labor Market Information Office DEED Labor Market Information Office www.deed.state.mn.us/lmi
The recession continues… • Minnesota’s economy began to slow before nation • Weakness has been across all sectors • Labor market slack has reached historic highs • Forecasts are of continued labor market weakness despite evidence of strengthening economy Labor Market Information Office www.deed.state.mn.us/lmi
47,000 job gap 4 years Employment since the last recession Labor Market Information Office www.deed.state.mn.us/lmi
Job losses have been widespread … Labor Market Information Office www.deed.state.mn.us/lmi
MN employment around past cycle peaks Labor Market Information Office www.deed.state.mn.us/lmi
More People Filing for Unemployment Benefits … Labor Market Information Office www.deed.state.mn.us/lmi
… and receiving and exhausting benefits Labor Market Information Office www.deed.state.mn.us/lmi
Jobseekers also face diminished job vacancies Labor Market Information Office www.deed.state.mn.us/lmi
The short run bottom line? • Minnesota lost 100,000 jobs between second quarter 2008 and second quarter 2009. • Minnesota has reached all time highs in UI, at 44,000 new claims in May and 28,000 new claims due to permanent separations in February. • If current forecasts are accurate, Minnesota will: • Lose 21,000 jobs between second quarter 2009 and second quarter 2010 for a total of 121,000 jobs lost over two years. • Add an additional 50,000+ unemployed persons to the current 250,000. Labor Market Information Office www.deed.state.mn.us/lmi
Job Declines = Rising Unemployment Rates Labor Market Information Office www.deed.state.mn.us/lmi Source: Global Insight US Economic Outlook, July 2009
Regional Website - http://www.deed.state.mn.us/lmi/tools/rws/ - compares counties, EDRs, Planning Regions and state. Links to time series data and graphs comparing regions. • Research Grant Opportunities – • Green Skills Research: Leverage Job Vacancy Survey to identify green vacancies. Follow-up survey with employers to obtain detailed information on skills requirements and shortages in green occupations. Begin fall round of JVS. Initial findings in spring 2010. • Workforce Locator Tool for prospective employers, site locators and economic developers. Leverage existing program data (UI claims, DW program, MinnesotaWorks) to describe workforce in a radius search around a point. Joint project with WI and IA. • Skills Transferability Tool will help dislocated workers find occupations matching their skills and experience. Should be available October 2009. New LMI Tools and Research Labor Market Information Office www.deed.state.mn.us/lmi