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STUDIES OF THE FRAGRANCE INDUSTRY

A. DIFFERENT PROSPECTIVE STUDIES a) 2005 b) 2006. B. KNOWLEDGE SOFTWARE (PREP MODEL). STUDIES OF THE FRAGRANCE INDUSTRY. C. CREATIVE STRATEGIC BUSINESS MODEL SOFTWARE (ALADIN MODEL). D. TRAINING SESSIONS a) Creativity stimulation b) Prospective approaches c) Innovation management.

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STUDIES OF THE FRAGRANCE INDUSTRY

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  1. A. DIFFERENT PROSPECTIVE STUDIES a) 2005 b) 2006 B. KNOWLEDGE SOFTWARE (PREP MODEL) STUDIES OF THE FRAGRANCE INDUSTRY C. CREATIVE STRATEGIC BUSINESS MODEL SOFTWARE (ALADIN MODEL) D. TRAINING SESSIONS a) Creativity stimulation b) Prospective approaches c) Innovation management

  2. Strategic studies of the fragrance industry a) 2005 - 2013 (first version 126 pages)b) 2006 - 2013 (second version 137 pages)

  3. 2005 PROSPECTIVE STUDY 100 variables First version 2005-2013 7 macro trends 3 scenarios

  4. North America Europe South America Geographical zones South Pacific Asia Australia Middle East

  5. Fragrance Manufacturers Creators Packaging Brands Economics Experts Distributors Regulation Media

  6. 2006 PROSPECTIVE STUDY 217 variables Second version 2006-2013 58 macro trends 5 scenarios

  7. R&D and Innovation (23) Strategic (26) Manufacturing (21) Functional variables (128) Human (9) Marketing (21) Environmental/ regulation (18) Economic and Finance (10)

  8. North America Usa, Canada South America Brazil Europe France, Germany United Kingdom, Italy, Spain Baltic countries Geographical zones South Pacific French Polynesia, Hawaii Asia Japan, China, India Middle East Dubai, Saudi Arabia Australia

  9. Fragrance Manufacturers Trends: 7+7 Creators Trends: 7+5 Packaging Trends: 7+7 Brands Trends: 7+7 Economics Trends: 7+7 Experts Distributors Trends: 7+7 Regulation Trends: 7+6 Media Trends: 7+5 General trends: 7 Specific trends: 51

  10. Reference Optimistic reasonable Pessimistic reasonable Scenarios Pessimistic “Cassandra” Optimistic “Inane”

  11. B) PREP MODEL EIGHT TYPES OF EXPERTS SEVEN GENERIC TRENDS 51 SPECIFIC TRENDS AUTOMATIC ANALYSIS OF QUESTIONNAIRES SCENARIOS CONSEQUENCES

  12. C) CREATIVE STRATEGIC BUSINESS MODEL (ALADIN MODEL) KEY SUCCESS FACTORS TREATS AND OPPORTUNITIES STREGHTS AND WEAKNESSES POSITIONNING VALUE PROPOSITION GENERATE INNOVATION MASTER COMPLEXITY BUSINESS MODEL

  13. Is the prospective study a good study?Has these study a good methodology?

  14. First version PROSPECTIVE STUDY OF FRAGRANCE INDUSTRY 2005-2013 1. EXAMPLES OF SOME RESULTS PROPOSED 2. EXAMPLES OF SOME RESULTS CONFIRMED

  15. First version PROSPECTIVE STUDY OF FRAGRANCE INDUSTRY 2005-2013 1.Examples of some results proposed (Public presentation of some short term trends at Luxe PACK Monaco November 2, 2005) A. Importance of regulation B. Consolidation in packaging C. M&A (Merger and acquisition) in distribution

  16. First version PROSPECTIVE STUDY OF FRAGRANCE INDUSTRY 2005-2013 2.Examples of some results confirmed (two years latter…) B. Consolidation in packaging glass makers: Saint Gobain Desjonquères ???, (Fond Sagard et Cognétas 29/03/07) paper: failure A. Law about allergens voted C. M&A (Merger and acquisition) in distribution Marionnaud/ Watson

  17. Second version PROSPECTIVE STUDY OF FRAGRANCE INDUSTRY 2006-2013 1. EXAMPLES OF SOME RESULTS PROPOSED 2. EXAMPLES OF SOME RESULTS CONFIRMED

  18. Second version PROSPECTIVE STUDY OF THE FRAGRANCE INDUSTRY 2006-2013 1. Examples of some results proposed (in the report December 20, 2006, delivered to different clients) B. Fusion and acquisition in Fragrances houses A. Different trends confirmed by experts C. Specific role of some types of innovation D. New business models

  19. Second version PROSPECTIVE STUDY OF THE FRAGRANCE INDUSTRY 2006-2013 Example of some results confirmed (six month latter) B. Fusion and acquisition in Fragrances houses Givaudan/ Quest Robertet/Charabot (31.05.07) A. Different trends confirmed already Some trends integrated in the strategy C. Role of innovation confirmed by some companies results D. New business integrated in strategies

  20. Second version PROSPECTIVE STUDY OF THE FRAGRANCE INDUSTRY 2006-2013 Flexibility of use of the study for your company Your questions ??? A. Variables data base B. Links between variables “configurations” data base C. Experts advice data base D. Consequences data base E. Possibility to personalize the recommendations

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