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Prerequisites. Almost essential Contract Design. Design: Taxation. MICROECONOMICS Principles and Analysis Frank Cowell. September 2006. The design problem. The government needs to raise revenue… …and it may want to redistribute resources To do this it uses the tax system
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Prerequisites Almost essential Contract Design Design: Taxation MICROECONOMICS Principles and Analysis Frank Cowell September 2006
The design problem • The government needs to raise revenue… • …and it may want to redistribute resources • To do this it uses the tax system • personal income tax… • …and income-based subsidies • Base it on “ability to pay” • income rather than wealth • ability reflected in productivity • Tax authority may have limited information • who have the high ability to pay? • what impact on individuals’ willingness to produce output? • What’s the right way to construct the tax schedule?
A link with contract theory • Base approach on the analysis of contracts • close analogy with case of hidden characteristics • owner hires manager… • …but manager’s ability is unknown at time of hiring • Ability here plays the role of unobservable type • ability may not be directly observable… • …but distribution of ability in the population is known • A progressive treatment: • outline model components • use analogy with contracts to solve two-type case • proceed to large (finite) number of types • then extend to general continuous distribution
Overview... Design: Taxation Design basics Preferences, incomes, ability and the government Simple model Generalisations Interpretations
Model elements • A two-commodity model • leisure (i.e. the opposite of effort) • consumption – a basket of all other goods • Income comes only from work • individuals are paid according to their marginal product • workers differ according to their ability • Individuals derive utility from: • their leisure • their disposable income (consumption) • Government / tax agency • has to raise a fixed amount of revenue K • seeks to maximise social welfare… • …where social welfare is a function of individual utilities
Modelling preferences • Individual’s preferences • u = y(z) + y • u: utility level • z : effort • y : income received • y(): decreasing, strictly concave, function • Special shape of utility function • quasi-linear form • zero-income effect • y(z) gives the disutility of effort in monetary units • Individual does not have to work • reservation utility level u • requires y(z) + y ≥u
Ability and income • Individuals work (give up leisure) to provide consumption • Individuals differ in talent (ability) t • higher ability people produce more and may thus earn more • individual of type t works an amount z • produces output q= tz • but individual does not necessarily get to keep this output? • Disposable income determined by tax authority • intervention via taxes and transfers • fixes a relationship between individual’s output and income • (net) income tax on type t is implicitly given by q− y • Preferences can be expressed in terms of q and y • for type t utility is given by y(z) + y • equivalently: y(q /t) + y A closer look at utility
The utility function (1) • Preferences over leisure and income y • Indifference curves increasing preference • Reservation utility • u = y(z) + y • yz(z) < 0 • u≥u u 1– z
The utility function (2) • Preferences over leisure and output y • Indifference curves increasing preference • Reservation utility • u = y(q/t) + y • yz(q/t) < 0 • u≥u u q
Indifference curves: pattern • All types have the same preferences • Function y() is common knowledge • but utility level uof type t depends on effort z and payment y • value of t may be information that is private to individual • Take indifference curves in (q, y) space • u = y(q/t) + y • slope of a given type’s indifference curve depends on value of t • indifference curves of different types cross once only
The single-crossing condition • Preferences over leisure and output y • High talent increasing preference • Low talent • Those with different talent (ability) will have different sloped indifference curves in this diagram type b type a • qa = taza q • qb = tbzb
Similarity with contract model • The position of the Agent • instead of a single Agent with known ex-ante probability distribution of talents,… • … a population of workers with known distribution of abilities. • The position of the Principal (designer) • designer is the government acting as Principal. • knows distribution of ability (common knowledge) • the objective function is a standard SWF • One extra constraint • the community has to raise a fixed amount K≥ 0 • the government imposes a tax • drives a wedge between market income generated by worker and the amount available to spend on other goods.
Overview... Design: Taxation Design basics Analogy with contract theory Simple model Generalisations Interpretations
A full-information solution? • Consider argument based on the analysis of contracts • Given full information owner can fully exploit any manager • Pays the minimum amount necessary • “Chooses” their effort • Same basic story here • Can impose lump-sum tax • “Chooses” agents’ effort — no distortion • But the full-information solution may be unattractive • Informational requirements are demanding • Perhaps violation of individuals’ privacy? • So look at second-best case…
Two types • Start with the case closest to the optimal contract model • Exactly two skill types • ta > tb • proportion of a-types is p • values of ta , tb and p are common knowledge • From contract design we can write down the outcome • essentially all we need to do is rework notation • But let us examine the model in detail:
Second-best: two types • The government’s budget constraint • p[qa - ya] + [1-p][qb - yb] ≥ K • where qh - yh is the amount raised in tax from agent h • Participation constraint for the b type: • yb + y(zb)≥ ub • have to offer at least as much as available elsewhere • Incentive-compatibility constraint for the a type: • ya + y(qa/ta)≥ yb + y(qb/ta) • must be no worse off than if it behaved like a b-type • implies (qb,yb) < (qa,ya) • The government seeks to maximise standard SWF • p z(y(za) + ya) + [1-p] z(y(zb) + yb) • where z is increasing and concave
Two types: model • We can use a standard Lagrangean approach • government chooses (q, y) pairs for each type • …subject to three constraints • Constraints are: • government budget constraint • participation constraint (for b-types) • incentive-compatibility constraint (for a-types) • Choose qa, qb, ya, yb to max p z(y(qa/ta) + ya) + [1-p] z(y(qb/tb) + yb) + k [p[qa - ya] + [1-p][qb - yb] -K] + l [yb + y(qb/tb)-ub] + m [ya + y(qa/ta)-yb-y(qb/ta)] where k, l, m are Lagrange multipliers for the constraints
Two types: method • Differentiate with respect to qa, qb, ya, yb to get FOCs: • pzu(ua)yz(za)/ta + kp + myz(za)/ta≤ 0 • [1-p]zu(ub)yz(zb)/tb + k [1-p] + lyz(zb)/tb - myz(qb/ta)/ta ≤ 0 • pzu(ua) - kp + m ≤ 0 • [1-p]zu(ub) - k[1-p] + l -m ≤ 0 • For an interior solution, where qa, qb, ya, yb are all positive • pzu(ua)yz(za)/ta + kp + myz(za)/ta= 0 • [1-p]zu(ub)yz(zb)/tb + k [1-p] + lyz(zb)/tb - myz(qb/ta)/ta = 0 • pzu(ua) - kp + m = 0 • [1-p]zu(ub) - k[1-p] + l -m = 0 • Manipulating these gives the main results • For example, from first and third condition: • [kp - m ] yz(za)/ta + kp + myz(za)/ta= 0 • kp yz(za)/ta + kp= 0
Two types: solution • Solving the FOC we get: • - yz(qa/ta)= ta • - yz(qb/tb) = tb+ kp/[1-p], • where k :=yz(qb/tb)- [tb/ta] yz(qb/ta) < 0 • Also, all the Lagrange multipliers are positive • so the associated constraints are binding • follows from standard adverse selection model • Results are as for optimum-contracts model: • MRSa = MRTa • MRSb< MRTb • Interpretation • no distortion at the top (for type ta) • no surplus at the bottom (for type tb) • determine the “menu” of (q,y)-choices offered by tax agency….
a y b y b a q q Two ability types: tax design • a type’s reservation utility y • b type’s reservation utility • b type’s (q,y) • incentive-compatibility constraint • a type’s (q,y) • menu of (q,y) offered by tax authority • Analysis determines (q,y) combinations at two points • If a tax schedule T(∙) is to be designed where y = q −T(q)… • …then it must be consistent with these two points q
Overview... Design: Taxation Design basics Moving beyond the two-ability model Simple model Generalisations Interpretations
A small generalisation • With three types problem becomes a bit more interesting • Similar structure to previous case • ta > tb > tc • proportions of each type in the population are pa, pb, pc • We now have one more constraint to worry about • Participation constraint for c type: yc + y(qc/tc) ≥ uc • IC constraint for b type: yb + y(qb/tb)≥ yc + y(qc/tb) • IC constraint for a type: ya + y(qa/ta)≥ yb + y(qb/ta) • But this is enough to complete the model specification • the two IC constraints also imply ya + y(qa/ta)≥ yc + y(qc/tb) … • … so no-one has incentive to misrepresent as lower ability
Three types • Methodology is same as two-ability model • set up Lagrangean • Lagrange multipliers for budget constraint, participation constraint and two IC constraints • maximise with respect to (qa,ya), (qb,yb), (qc,yc) • Outcome essentially as before : • MRSa = MRTa • MRSb< MRTb • MRSc< MRTc • Again, no distortion at the top and the participation constraint binding at the bottom • determines (q,y)-combinations at exactly three points • tax schedule must be consistent with these points • A stepping stone to a much more interesting model…
A richer model: N+1 types • The multi-type case follows immediately from three types • Take N + l types • t0< t1< t2< … < tN • (note the required change in notation) • proportion of type j is pj • this distribution is common knowledge • Budget constraint and SWF are now • Sjpj[qj - yj] ≥ K • Sjpj z(y(zj) + yj) • where sum is from 0 to N
N+1 types: behavioural constraints • Participation constraint • is relevant for lowesttype j = 0 • form is as before: • y0 + y(z0)≥ u0 • Incentive-compatibility constraint • applies where j > 0 • j must be no worse off than if it behaved like the type below (j-1) • yj + y(qj/tj)≥ yj-1 + y(qj-1/tj). • implies (qj-1,yj-1) < (qj,yj) • and u(tj) ≥ u(tj-1) • From previous cases we know the methodology • (and can probably guess the outcome)
N+1 types: solution • Lagrangean is only slightly modified from before • Choose {(qj, yj )} to max Sj=0 pjz(y(qj / tj) + yj) + k [Sjpj[qj - yj] -K] + l [y0 + y(z0)-u0] + Sj=1 mj [yj + y(qj/tj)-yj-1-y(qj-1/tj)] where there are now N incentive-compatibility Lagrange multipliers • And we get the result, as before • MRSN = MRTN • MRSN−1< MRTN−1 • … • MRS1< MRT1 • MRS0< MRT0 • Now the tax schedule is determined at N+1 points
A continuum of types • One more step is required in generalisation • Suppose the tax agency is faced with a continuum of taxpayers • common assumption • allows for general specification of ability distribution • This case can be reasoned from the case with N + 1 types • allow N • From previous cases we know • form of the participation constraint • form that IC constraint must take • an outline of the outcome • Can proceed by analogy with previous analysis…
The continuum model • Continuous ability • bounded support [t,`t ] • density f(t) • Utility for talent t as before u(t) = y(t) + y( q(t) / t) • Participation constraint is u(t) ≥u • Incentive compatibility requires du(t) /dt ≥ 0 • SWF is `t ⌠ │ z (u(t)) f(t) dt ⌡t
Continuum model: optimisation • Lagrangean is `t ⌠ │ z (u(t))f(t) dt ⌡t `t ⌠ +k │ [ q(t) − y(t) −K]f(t) dt ⌡t + l [ u(t) − u] `t ⌠ du(t) + │ m(t) ——f(t) dt ⌡tdt where u(t) = y(t) + y( q(t) / t) • Lagrange multipliers are • k : government budget constraint • l : participation constraint • m(t) : incentive-compatibility for type t • Maximise Lagrangean with respect to q(t) and y(t) for all t [t,`t ]
t _ 45° q _ _ _ t q Output and disposable income under the optimal tax • Lowest type’s indifference curve y • Lowest type’s output and income • Intermediate type’s indifference curve, output and income • Highest type’s indifference curve • Highest type’s output and income • Menu offered by tax authority q
Continuum model: results • Incentive compatibility implies • dy /dq> 0 • optimal marginal tax rate < 100% • No distortion at top implies • dy /dq = 1 • zero optimal marginal tax rate! • But explicit form for the optimal income tax requires • specification of distribution f(∙) • specification of individual preferences y(∙) • specification of social preferences z (∙) • specification of required revenue K
Overview... Design: Taxation Design basics Applying design rules to practical policy Simple model Generalisations Interpretations
Application of design principles • The second-best method provides some pointers • but is not a prescriptive formula • model is necessarily over-simplified • exact second-best formula might be administratively complex • Simple schemes may be worth considering • roughly correspond to actual practice • illustrate good/bad design • Consider affine (linear) tax system • benefit B payable to all (guaranteed minimum income) • all gross income (output) taxable at the same marginal rate t… • …constant marginal retention rate: dy /dq = 1 t • Effectively a negative income tax scheme: • (net) income related to output thus: y = B + [1 t] q • so y > q ifq < B / t … and vice versa
1t A simple tax-benefit system • Guaranteed minimum income B y • Constant marginal retention rate • Implied attainable set • Low-income type’s indiff curve • Low-income type’s output, income • High-income type’s indiff curve • Highest type’s output and income • “Linear” income tax system ensures that incentive-compatibility constraint is satisfied B q
Violations of design principles? • Sometimes the IC condition be violated in actual design • This can happen by accident: • interaction between income support and income tax. • generated by the desire to “target” support more effectively • a well-meant inefficiency? • Commonly known as • the “notch problem” (US) • the “poverty trap” (UK) • Simple example • suppose some of the benefit is intended for lowest types only • an amount B0 is withdrawn after a given output level • relationship between y and q no longer continuous and monotonic
a y b y b a q q A badly designed tax-benefit system • Menu offered to low income groups y • Withdrawal of benefit B0 • Implied attainable set • Low-income type’s indiff curve • Low type’s output and income • High-income type’s indiff curve • High type’s intended output and income • High type’s utility-maximising choice • The notch violates IC… • …causes a-types to masquerade as b-types B0 q
Summary • Optimal income tax is a standard second-best problem • Elementary version a reworking of the contract model • Can be extended to general ability distribution • Provides simple rules of thumb for good design • In practice these may be violated by well-meaning policies