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Why, who, when and how?. An empirical view of the UK construction industry’s decision making process. Tony Williams Building Value Ltd the independent strategic advisor to the building materials, construction & support services sectors 11 June 2004.
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Why, who, when and how? An empirical view of the UK construction industry’s decision making process
Tony WilliamsBuilding Value Ltdthe independent strategic advisor to the building materials, construction & support services sectors11 June 2004
UK construction industry is the focus of the study • Number three market in Europe • Accounts for 8% of GDP (below average) • Largest single domestic industry • Some 1.5 million employees
UK construction output 1955-2003(£billion at 2000 prices) Source: DTI
UK construction - history • Sustained growth since 1994 • Relatively impervious to politics, aside from mid-1970s • Three major collapses in 1974-7; 1980-1; and 1991-3
UK construct. output 1998 – 2006E Source: CFR, Spring 2004
UK construction – the future • Average ‘3% plus’ real growth through 2006 • One of best major markets in Europe • Private Finance Initiative increasingly important • Repair, maintenance & improvement (RMI) averaging more than 48% of total
Methodology • All UK publicly quoted companies on London Stock Exchange; the sector is world’s biggest 65 companies and £52 billion of value • 35 large privately owned businesses; many large • Wrote to the CEO with confidentiality assured • 46 multi-choice questions and one written answer with expected completion time of five minutes • Supplied SAE, promised to send results and donate £1 per questionnaire to industry charity (CITY)
Those who volunteered identity, others guessed plus anonymous
Questionnaire idiosyncrasies • 90% of respondents used ticks in the question boxes; with 5% each employing crosses or slashes • Two thirds used black pen, 30% blue and 3% red • The PA of one CEO called, emailed and wrote to say he didn’t have time to fill it in; another declined my invitation to the conference • 5% eschewed the SAE and one send it back empty • 40% of companies identified themselves
“Those who run international businesses do so because they like to travel. Very few construction companies make more from overseas operations than at home; so why do they stay there? UK contractor, 2004
Subsidiary or regional boards? & are these Directors on the Main Board?
Frequency of Main Board; incidence of Executive Committees? (% replies)
“A poorly controlled area at large corporate level is strategic decision making that doesn’t hold firm for the medium term. This means subsidiary managers never get to understand how they can be part of group-wide goals......
“…The lack of political will ‘to stick to one’s knitting’, even if market conditions change, means that a lot of second tier decision making is in vain”UK construction CEO, 2004
Capital raising in last 12 months and acquisition or divestment?
How long did acquisition take?Did you use an external advisor?
What level of capital spend is agreed by Main Board (% of replies)?
“What surprises me about construction is that decisions are taken without a proper review of the facts, particularly the risks, which many refuse to quantify by arguing that such issues are subjective or even emotive…
“…Not pricing for a known exposure at the bidding stage is very blinkered indeed – to say the very least”Development company CEO, 2004
“Risk is not related to size. You could just as easily lose £1 million on a £5 million job as one that is worth £50 million”Construction CEO, 2004
“Construction is a long term business and trying to make decisions to satisfy shareholders on a quarterly basis can be inconsistent with the strategic plan.......