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Housing Trends in West Midlands: A Census Analysis

Analyzing housing trends in West Midlands post-2011 Census to understand changes in types of homes, tenure shifts, implications for older populations, and future housing requirements.

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Housing Trends in West Midlands: A Census Analysis

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  1. The 2011 Census in the West Midlands: housing trends and patterns 22nd April 2013 | The Futures Network West Midlands Richard Turkington, Rachel Wright & John Connell richardturkington@housingvision.co.uk

  2. Structure Within the limitations of published Census data: Take stock of changes since 2001 Where are we now? Where do we go from here? The Big Questions Understanding the maps Red/pink = high: which does not always mean good! Dark/pale blue = low: which is not always bad!

  3. Taking Stock: growth 2.3 million homes, growth of 144,000 or 7% Lowest: North Warwickshire 2.5% Highest: Rugby 15% What type of homes have been added? Detached: 19% (24% in total) Semi-detached: 24% (37% in total) Terraced: 15% (23% in total) Purpose-built flats: 35% (13% in total) Converted flats: 4% (2% in total) Other: 3% (1% in total)

  4. Tenure Change Private rented sector As a proportion - has doubled to 14% Sector has grown everywhere, from 55% in Stratford to almost 300% in Redditch Home ownership As a proportion - declined from 69% to 65% Numbers have grown by 6% in Shropshire but fallen by 7% in Coventry

  5. Tenure change Where has this left social renting? As a proportion - declined from 21% to 19% The place of shared ownership? Stabilised at 0.7% - growth of 750 units 0.35% in Staffordshire Moorlands to 1.1% in Stratford-upon-Avon Strongest growth in Birmingham - 500 units Stock has declined in some locations By over 700 units in Stoke-on-Trent

  6. Tenure & older people Very different patterns for 65+ households: 75% home ownership 19% social rented 4% private renting Implications? Level of equity owned Good quality of social rented housing Poor quality of private rented housing The likelihood of downsizing What if this doesn’t happen?

  7. Where are we now?Under-occupation 2 or more bedrooms: 36% for all households Likely to be double for 65+ households From 26% in Stoke-on-Trent To 48% in Bromsgrove

  8. Where are we now?Overcrowding 3.9% of all households have 1 bedroom less than their requirements 0.7% have 2 bedrooms less From 1.8% in Bromsgrove, Malvern & Stratford To 7% in Sandwell & 9% in Birmingham

  9. Where are we now?The quality of housing No central heating 3% of all households From 1.5-1.6% in Redditch, Cannock and Lichfield To 3.9-4.1% in East Staffordshire & Birmingham Though can people afford to use it?

  10. Where do we go from here?Gross requirements 2011-21 Gross housing requirements by age and bedsize

  11. Where do we go from here?Net requirements 2011-21 Net housing requirements by bedsize taking account of underoccupation and low levels of downsizing Specialised housing for older people

  12. The Big Questions Understanding housing market dynamics - ‘musical chairs’, changing requirements & the ‘fit’ between housing and households? The place of regeneration and renewal? The emergence of new problems in old areas or new problems in new areas? The stability and security of private renting? Housing older people - stay or move? Providing more homes - quantity & quality?

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