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QUICK: Review of confidence intervals. Inference: provides methods for drawing conclusions about a population from sample data. Confidence Intervals estimate a population parameter (mean or proportion) with some level of confidence.
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QUICK: Review of confidence intervals Inference: provides methods for drawing conclusions about a population from sample data. Confidence Intervals estimate a population parameter (mean or proportion) with some level of confidence. Because of what we know of Sampling Distributions (μxbar = μ AND μphat= p), we express our confidence in being able to capture the true μ or p in our own ONE sample.
Inference Toolbox for Confidence Intervals • State Population and parameter of interest. • Check Conditions. • Calculate actual confidence interval. • Interpret results: I am ___% confident that the true mean μ ____(context)_______ is between ______ and _______.
Conditions for Inference Procedures SRS: The data are a SRS from the population of interest. Normality: Confidence Intervals with Means: 1. Use CLT when n>30. 2. Otherwise boxplot, stemplot, dotplot for symmetry, no extreme skewness or large outliers. Check Normal Probability Plot for linearity. Confidence Intervals with Proportions: 1. Check normality with n*phat > 10 and n*qhat >10 Independence: When sampling without replacement, check that n*10 < population size
Formulas for Confidence Intervals MEANS: One Sample z interval (σ known) One Sample t interval (σ unknown) PROPORTIONS: One Sample z interval Proportion (1-phat) = qhat
Vocabulary for Confidence Intervals Confidence Level Confidence Interval Margin of Error Standard Error