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Real Estate Finance Case 3. Sub-case 2. Alexander Nagornov Alexander Parkhomenko Sohail Ahmed Jali Bakoro. Smoothing of the returns. Design #2. Weak form of market efficiency Find appropriate empirical model for returns (how many lags?). Design. Weak form of market efficiency
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Real Estate FinanceCase 3. Sub-case 2. Alexander Nagornov Alexander Parkhomenko Sohail Ahmed Jali Bakoro
Design #2 • Weak form of market efficiency • Find appropriate empirical model for returns (how many lags?)
Design • Weak form of market efficiency • Find appropriate empirical model for returns (how many lags?) • UnSmooth Returns.
Design #2 • U – average rate of growth of prices (returns) sample estimate • W – is a scale parameter, by assumption is 5% st.dev. Scale:
Then, what about weights? • From the whole period estimates we get that about 20% should be invested in West. • From last 6 years estimates we get that 0% should be invested in West.
A bit different story now… • Fund turns out to be diversified among different types of property. • However, we can’t show any results linked to the operation only in the West, because the data is for the whole country. • So let’s just have a look out of the curiosity…