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Interpreting the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation in an Urban Context Presentation to the ScotStat Analysts Network 30th June 2010. James Arnott Development & Regeneration Services Glasgow City Council. SIMD 2009. Highlighted reduction in Glasgow’s share of Scotland’s deprivation
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Interpreting the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation in an Urban ContextPresentation to the ScotStat Analysts Network30th June 2010 James Arnott Development & Regeneration Services Glasgow City Council
SIMD 2009 • Highlighted reduction in Glasgow’s share of Scotland’s deprivation • SIMD04: 308,000 in 1%-15% • SIMD09: 243,000 in 1%-15% • Main drivers: expanding local economy, retention of employed working-age population, improved housing choice
SIMD 2009: 4 Trends • Areas moving out of deprivation: -21.1% population fall • Areas moving into 51%-100%: +32.2% population increase • Persistent deprivation involving 108,525 persons • Areas losing ground
Further Analysis • Capacity of Glasgow to withstand current recession • Continuated City Centre expansion • Areas of persistent deprivation • Stable areas facing decline
1. Withstanding the Recession • Broad-based economy • Infrastructural improvements: M74, Clyde Gateway, Clyde Waterfront, Commonwealth Games • Centralisation and displacement • Demographics and age profile • Relative not absolute improvement
2a. City Centre Expansion • East to Dennistoun • North to Speirs Wharf • West towards West End, Anderston, Kelvinhaugh • Deprived areas into 16%-50%, non-deprived into 51%-100% • No major employment expansion
2b. City Centre/West End • Along the 4 main linking routes • Associated with increased working-age population • Possibly also single person hholds • Westward expansion stops at Whiteinch • North Kelvinside & Woodside
3. Persistent Deprivation • 137 dzones in 1%-5% in 04,06 & 09 • No major loss of population • Based around SIPs but a new geography within them • Continuing employability programmes for hard-to-reach during a recession
4. Stable Areas facing Decline • Not threatened with deprivation, but losing ground • Issues around displacement and competing neighbourhoods • Inter-war housing stock, Western Heritable, RtBs • Early action possible
Conclusions • Different neighbourhood geography • Changed role of River Clyde and City Centre • Widening inequalities with ex-SIPs • Displacement within the city conurbation
Way Forward • Widen the debate around these and other issues • Most suitable way of monitoring and reviewing these trends • Use of policy to steer or stop