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James Arnott Development & Regeneration Services Glasgow City Council

Interpreting the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation in an Urban Context Presentation to the ScotStat Analysts Network 30th June 2010. James Arnott Development & Regeneration Services Glasgow City Council. SIMD 2009. Highlighted reduction in Glasgow’s share of Scotland’s deprivation

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James Arnott Development & Regeneration Services Glasgow City Council

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  1. Interpreting the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation in an Urban ContextPresentation to the ScotStat Analysts Network30th June 2010 James Arnott Development & Regeneration Services Glasgow City Council

  2. SIMD 2009 • Highlighted reduction in Glasgow’s share of Scotland’s deprivation • SIMD04: 308,000 in 1%-15% • SIMD09: 243,000 in 1%-15% • Main drivers: expanding local economy, retention of employed working-age population, improved housing choice

  3. Change between 2004 & 2009

  4. Change between 2004 & 2009

  5. Greater Pollok LCPP: Change between 2004 & 2009

  6. SIMD 2009: 4 Trends • Areas moving out of deprivation: -21.1% population fall • Areas moving into 51%-100%: +32.2% population increase • Persistent deprivation involving 108,525 persons • Areas losing ground

  7. Further Analysis • Capacity of Glasgow to withstand current recession • Continuated City Centre expansion • Areas of persistent deprivation • Stable areas facing decline

  8. 1. Withstanding the Recession • Broad-based economy • Infrastructural improvements: M74, Clyde Gateway, Clyde Waterfront, Commonwealth Games • Centralisation and displacement • Demographics and age profile • Relative not absolute improvement

  9. 2a. City Centre Expansion • East to Dennistoun • North to Speirs Wharf • West towards West End, Anderston, Kelvinhaugh • Deprived areas into 16%-50%, non-deprived into 51%-100% • No major employment expansion

  10. 2b. City Centre/West End • Along the 4 main linking routes • Associated with increased working-age population • Possibly also single person hholds • Westward expansion stops at Whiteinch • North Kelvinside & Woodside

  11. 3. Persistent Deprivation • 137 dzones in 1%-5% in 04,06 & 09 • No major loss of population • Based around SIPs but a new geography within them • Continuing employability programmes for hard-to-reach during a recession

  12. 4. Stable Areas facing Decline • Not threatened with deprivation, but losing ground • Issues around displacement and competing neighbourhoods • Inter-war housing stock, Western Heritable, RtBs • Early action possible

  13. Conclusions • Different neighbourhood geography • Changed role of River Clyde and City Centre • Widening inequalities with ex-SIPs • Displacement within the city conurbation

  14. Way Forward • Widen the debate around these and other issues • Most suitable way of monitoring and reviewing these trends • Use of policy to steer or stop

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