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Trust-space continuum: A spatial analysis of stakeholders’ trust and confidence in a state wildlife agency. Heather A. Triezenberg & Shawn J. Riley Michigan State University, Fisheries & Wildlife Sarah L. Hession & Wenjuan Ma
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Trust-space continuum: A spatial analysis of stakeholders’ trust and confidence in a state wildlife agency Heather A. Triezenberg & Shawn J. Riley Michigan State University, Fisheries & Wildlife Sarah L. Hession & Wenjuan Ma Michigan State University, Center for Statistical Training & Consulting
Acknowledgements • Michigan Department of Natural Resources’ Wildlife Division • Federal Aid in Wildlife Restoration • Graduate School at Michigan State University • Dr. Julie Brockman MSU School of Human Resources & Labor Relations • Charlotte Powers & Stanton Mack MSU Department of Organizational Psychology • Respondents to our questionnaires
Latent Factor Model of Trust and Confidence in the MiDNR Wildlife Division • Direct effects, standardized path coefficient, z-statistic in parenthesis, *=p<.01 for straight line; covariance, z-statistic in parenthesis, * = p<.01 for curved line • (X2 = 153, df = 38, X2/df = 4.03, p=.00, CFI=.99, RMSEA = .04, 90% RMSEA confidence interval .03 – .04
Trust and Space • Common Belief: Residents from Michigan’s Upper Peninsula have different beliefs than the rest of the state • Tobler’s first law: everything is related, but nearer things are more related than distant things
Objectives • Determine the scale for testing spatial relationships of trust/confidence in MiDNR WD • Test the influence of spatial relations on variables • Identify variables that predict trust/confidence in MiDNR WD • Identify the spatial scale of nearest neighbor clustering for respondents with similar levels of trust/confidence in a SWA
Methods • n = 6,825 Resident hunting license (any) buyers for 2012 season; >18 years; Stratified for MiDNR WD regions • Modified tailored design method • Administered February – May 2013 • Non-respondent telephone survey May – June 2013 • MSU IRB approval #x12-1201e • SPSS v19; Stata v12 & v13; Mplus 7.01, ArcGIS 10.1, GeoDa1.4.1
Methods • Single imputation of missing data with random draw • Weighted data according to proportion of respondents being represented by proportion of license buyers/region • Computed factor score for each latent factor • Geocoding and Moran’s I conducted in ArcGIS • Weights matrices created and spatial analysis in GeoDa • Spatial Lag Model • Spatial Error Model • OLS Regression
Results • 39% usable response rate (n = 2,691) • Respondents were more critical of WD than non-respondents • I believe that the WD as a whole is effective at managing Michigan’s wildlife resources: respondents (M= 3.00, SD=.99) vs. non-respondents (M=3.39, SD=1.20); t(df) = -4.02(170), p=.00). • 91% male • Age M=54 years; SD = 14.31
Residence Direct effects, standardized path coefficient, z-statistic in parenthesis, *=p<.01 for straight line; covariance, z-statistic in parenthesis, * = p<.01 for curved line
Interests Direct effects, standardized path coefficient, z-statistic in parenthesis, *=p<.01 for straight line; covariance, z-statistic in parenthesis, * = p<.01 for curved line
Geocoding of Survey Respondents n= 2,691 point locations
Clustering 25 km Moran’s I = 0.022 10 km Moran’s I = 0.007 5 km Moran’s I = 0.016
Results So what? Use OLS regression, with direct effects if needed
Predictor Variables & Coefficients Procedural Fairness 0.48** Technical Competence 0.11** Dependent Variable Moral Agreement -0.06** Beliefs about Government 0.02 Trust/Confidence in MiDNR Wildlife Division Value Congruence 0.48** Interaction with MiDNR WD -0.04* Age -0.001 Gender -0.02 *<0.05, **<0.01
Predictor Variables & Coefficients Controlling for Region of Residence Procedural Fairness 0.48** Procedural Fairness 0.48** Dependent Variable Tech. Competence 0.11** Tech. Competence 0.11** Moral Agreement -0.06** Moral Agreement -0.06** Beliefs about Government 0.02 Beliefs about Government 0.02 Trust/Confidence in MiDNR Wildlife Division Value Congruence 0.48** Value Congruence 0.48** Controlling for Region of Recreational Interest Interaction with MiDNR WD -0.03* Interaction with MiDNR WD -0.03* Age -0.001 Age -0.001 Gender -0.01 Gender -0.01 I_NLP 0.04* R_NLP 0.04 R_SWL0.05* I_SWL0.04 I_SEL0.07** R_SEL0.08** *<0.05, **<0.01
Cluster Analysis at 25km Neighbors within 25km have similar levels of high trust in WD Neighbor points within 25 km have similar levels of low levels of trust in WD
A Few More Thoughts • Theoretical model relatively stable across space • More heterogeneity in trust/confidence in Southern Michigan than other areas • Trust/confidence may be managed in the extent to which there address: • procedural fairness • value congruence
Thank You Heather A. Triezenberg vanden64@msu.edu www.fw.msu.edu/~vanden64