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Reduce & Repeat. More Precise XC50s Using Fewer Wells (in vitro) and Fewer Animals (in vivo). Non-Clinical Statistics Conference 2014, Brugge October 2014. Raw Conc -Response Data. Only Half of the Concs. Only Half of the Replicates. Only Half of the Concs and Half of the Replicates.
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Reduce & Repeat More Precise XC50s Using Fewer Wells (in vitro) and Fewer Animals (in vivo) Non-Clinical Statistics Conference 2014, Brugge October 2014
Raw Conc-Response Data Innovative Medicines | Discovery Sciences
Only Half of the Concs Innovative Medicines | Discovery Sciences
Only Half of the Replicates Innovative Medicines | Discovery Sciences
Only Half of the Concs and Half of the Replicates Innovative Medicines | Discovery Sciences
Only Half of the Concs and Half of the Replicates and Half of the Controls Innovative Medicines | Discovery Sciences
IC50 and 95% Confidence Interval Innovative Medicines | Discovery Sciences
Findings #1 • For a “well-behaved” assay, the resource (wells) may be dramatically reduced with little impact on either the estimate of the XC50 or its confidence interval • “Well-behaved” • Max and min controls that safely position the curve top and bottom • Conc-response data that have the right sort of sigmoid shape • Acceptable to overlook details such as biphasic and partial inhibition • May be exploited • Throughput • Cost • Compound use Innovative Medicines | Discovery Sciences
Second Set of Raw Conc-Response Data Innovative Medicines | Discovery Sciences
IC50 and 95% Confidence Interval Innovative Medicines | Discovery Sciences
IC50 and 95% Confidence Interval Innovative Medicines | Discovery Sciences
Findings #2 • Run-to-run differences in XC50 are massive compared to the small changes in XC50 that occur as a result of reducing the resource (wells) on any given run • Put in terms of components of variation • Between run variation dominates within-run variation • Within-run variation changes hardly at all as the number of concs and number of replicates changes • May be exploited • Reduce the resource per run • Repeat • Average Innovative Medicines | Discovery Sciences
IC50 vs Run Innovative Medicines | Discovery Sciences
IC50 vs Run Innovative Medicines | Discovery Sciences
IC50 vs Run Innovative Medicines | Discovery Sciences
IC50 vs Run Innovative Medicines | Discovery Sciences
IC50 vs Run Innovative Medicines | Discovery Sciences
IC50 vs Run Innovative Medicines | Discovery Sciences
In Vivo • A situation similar to the in vitro case has been observed, whereby study-to-study differences are the main component of variation • Was it a “good day” or a “bad day” for compound X • 2 Start Strategy (Brian Middleton) • Start half the planned animals (reduce) • Independently run the second half (repeat) • Average • Gives a superior estimate of the e.g. XC50 or XD50 • Provides in some cases a chance to change doses for the second start Innovative Medicines | Discovery Sciences
Summary • In both in vitro and in vivo settings there are large run-to-run or study-to-study differences when a compound is retested • Root cause analysis • Exploit by • reducing the resource (wells or animals) on a given occasion • repeating the experiment • averaging across the experiments • Reduce • Throughput, cost and compound benefits • Reduce and Repeat • Precision benefit + Innovative Medicines | Discovery Sciences
Acknowledgement and Reference • Siller H, Taylor JD, Middleton B. Two-start design within a Sephadex inflammatory model – A means to generate reliable ED50 data whilst significantly reducing the number of animals used. PulmPharmacolTher 2012; 25:223-227. Innovative Medicines | Discovery Sciences
Extra Slide Innovative Medicines | Discovery Sciences
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