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COMPARISON OF MEAN AREAL PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES FROM WSR-88D AND HISTORICAL GAGE NETWORKS OVER CHEAT RIVER BASIN, WV. David Wang, Michael Smith, D.J. Seo Hydrology Laboratory Office of Hydrological Development National Weather Service/NOAA. Objectives.
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COMPARISON OF MEAN AREAL PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES FROM WSR-88D AND HISTORICAL GAGE NETWORKS OVER CHEAT RIVER BASIN, WV David Wang, Michael Smith, D.J. Seo Hydrology Laboratory Office of Hydrological Development National Weather Service/NOAA
Objectives • Long term goal is to effectively use NEXGEN data for hydrological forecasting; • Evaluating radar-based MAPX quality over the Cheat River Basin, WV, which is selected as a study basin for Distributed Model Inter-comparison Project (DMIP);
MAPX Calculation • Period: Mar. 1, 1996 - Dec. 31, 1999 • MAPX are calculated using NEXRAD Stage III data, which are archived at Hydrology Laboratory, NWS; • Stage III HRAP grid are in resolution of 4 X 4 km;
MAP Calculation • Period: Oct. 1, 1952 - Dec. 31, 1999 • Calculated from the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) archives; • The domain covered Cheat River Basin has 16 valid hourly gages and 45 daily gages; • Quality control procedures are applied to various stages of calculation by using Interactive Double Mass Analysis (IDMA);
MAP Calculation (cont.) • Daily value for a station is distributed • into hourly values based on the nearby • hourly observations; • Missing values are estimated by 1/d^2; • MAP are calculated by multiplying pre- • determined weighting factors station observed • precipitation; d
Monthly and annual averaged hourly MAP & MAPX (mm) on different conditions over Cheat River Basin Note: 1). Ratio is MAPX/MAP; 2). Missing values are removed from the calculations; 3). Term “unconditional” means MAP>=0 and MAP>=0.
Caption: Red -- Station WV8986 hourly precipitation; Pink -- MAPX time series; Yellow -- Corrected MAPX time series; White -- MAP time series.
Caption: Red -- Station WV8986 hourly precipitation; Pink -- MAPX time series; Yellow -- Corrected MAPX time series; White -- MAP time series.
Caption: Pink -- MAPX time series; Yellow -- Corrected MAPX time series; White -- MAP time series.
Caption: Pink -- MAPX time series; Yellow -- Corrected MAPX time series; White -- MAP time series.
Caption: Pink -- MAPX time series; Yellow -- Corrected MAPX time series; White -- MAP time series.
Caption: Red -- Station WV8986 hourly precipitation; Pink -- MAPX time series; Yellow -- Corrected MAPX time series; White -- MAP time series.
Correction of MAPX time series • Divide MAPX range into 10 section based on the occurrence probability; • Calculate the correction factor for each section (MAP/MAPX) in cold and warm seaon; • Apply correction factors to MAPX time series;
Summary of Results • Long-term annual MAP is 52.87 in, PRISM annual MAP is 54.15 in, 4-year averaged MAPX is 30.87 in; • Radar-based MAPX is under-estimated by about 41% with comparison to MAP; • MAPX time series over Cheat River Basin is usable after correction by multiplying correction factors;