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WINCOMS : W ater Framework Directive – I nte g ration, N egotiation and C ommunication of O ptimal M easures with S takeholders. Michael Bruen, Mary Kelly, William Magette. WINCOMS. WFD: a detailed assessment of available measures
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WINCOMS :Water Framework Directive – Integration, Negotiation and Communication of Optimal Measures with Stakeholders Michael Bruen, Mary Kelly, William Magette
WINCOMS • WFD: a detailed assessment of available measures • recommendations for and practical demonstrations of decision support systems • integrate knowledge of the best available measures with the criteria and preferences of all relevant stakeholders • can be used for decision analysis, negotiation and mediation in developing WFD policy and measures
Objective 1 Produce a comprehensive scientific and technical description of all measures available to meet the requirements of the WFD together with a ranking on the basis of all relevant criteria, using formal multi-criteria methods. [ ranked list of measures and criteria]. These results are targeted principally at RBD decision makers, but will also add to stakeholder and general technical understanding of the performance, advantages and disadvantages of all potential measures.
Objective 2 Survey existing decision support systems and identify a short-list of 2 or 3 of the most suitable for WFD decision-making. Implement, adopt and test these in a case-study situation (using the ERBD project), evaluate their performance (particularly in respect of interaction with stakeholders) and recommend the most suitable system or approach. [ survey of DSS, ranked short-list and demonstration of recommended DSS in conjunction with Eastern RBD ]. The principle targets are stakeholders and decision makers involved in WFD activities.
Objective 3 Identify and study the knowledge, opinions and preferences of all relevant stakeholders and integrate the results with the decision support systems implemented in objective 2.[ report on stakeholders attitudes and preferences, on practicality and value of DSS as decision, negotiation and mediating tool in developing policy/ measures.] These results will be of wide applicability in the sociology of environmental opinions and preferences and the communication and influence of science knowledge.
WINCOMS Project - people • Engineers • Scientists • Sociologists • Communication specialists • RBD Managers • Invited experts
Objectives / Criteria Indicators
Objectives / Criteria Indicators Alternatives / Measures
Objectives / Criteria Indicators Alternatives / Measures Simulation / Assessment
Objectives / Criteria Indicators Alternatives / Measures Simulation / Assessment Decision / Programme
Objectives / Criteria Indicators Alternatives / Measures Simulation / Assessment Decision / Programme NO Agreement ? YES
Objectives / Criteria Indicators Alternatives / Measures Simulation / Assessment Decision / Programme Revise Priorities NO Agreement ? Negotiation YES
Objectives / Criteria Indicators Alternatives / Measures More alternatives Simulation / Assessment Compromise Decision / Programme Revise Priorities NO Agreement ? Negotiation YES
Objectives / Criteria Refine Objectives Indicators Reflection Alternatives / Measures More alternatives Simulation / Assessment Compromise Decision / Programme Revise Priorities NO Agreement ? Negotiation YES
Ladder of Participation* Enlightened Approach Old Command and Control Approach (*Based on Watson, 1996) Watson, R. D. 1996. Integrating catchment management: the human dimension. Proceedings, Multiple Land Use and Catchment Management International Conference, Macaulay Land Use Research Institute, Aberdeen, Scotland. Pp. 125-137.
Decision Support Systems : Pressures • Increasing quantity of data ( spatial) • Increasing complexity of analysis ( models) • Need for visualisation/demonstration of results ( decision makers) • Transparent and logical decision support ( MCDA) • Public participation ( stakeholders)
Objectives / Criteria Refine Objectives Indicators Reflection Alternatives / Measures More alternatives Data Simulation / Assessment Compromise Decision / Programme Revise Priorities NO Agreement ? Negotiation YES
DTM - slope but also... topographical wetness indices flow path length Soil P chemistry component-to ‘rank’ soil types in terms of P sorption/desorption
Objectives / Criteria Refine Objectives Indicators Reflection Alternatives / Measures More alternatives Data Simulation / Assessment Compromise Decision / Programme Revise Priorities NO Agreement ? Negotiation YES
Objectives / Criteria Refine Objectives Indicators Reflection Alternatives / Measures More alternatives Data Simulation / Assessment Compromise Models Decision / Programme Revise Priorities NO Agreement ? Negotiation YES
Conceptual representation of the Water Dynamic Modelling in the HSPF model SURFACE FLOW SURFACEZONE UPPER ZONE INTER FLOW ZONE INTER FLOW LOWER ZONE INFILT: infiltration parameter LZSN: nominal lower zone storage LZS: actual lower zone storage INEXP: exponent parameter IND: ratio of max. to mean infiltration capac. RTF: interflow parameter GROUND WATER ZONE BASE FLOW
Evapotrnaspiration loss model Rain and Snow input Canopy interception model Snow melt model Overland flow & Channel model Root zone Unsaturated zone Groundwater zone Variably Saturated flow model Components of the flow routine in the SHETRAN model
Oona catchment : daily observed and modelled flows and loads of dissolved reactive phosphorus (SWAT model) (1/1/2002 - 31/12/2002)
Objectives / Criteria Refine Objectives Indicators Reflection Alternatives / Measures More alternatives Data Simulation / Assessment Compromise Models Decision / Programme Revise Priorities NO Agreement ? Negotiation YES
Objectives / Criteria Refine Objectives Indicators Reflection Alternatives / Measures More alternatives Data Simulation / Assessment Compromise Models Decision / Programme Revise Priorities MCDA NO Agreement ? Negotiation YES
Objectives / Criteria Refine Objectives Indicators Reflection Alternatives / Measures More alternatives Data Simulation / Assessment Compromise Models Decision / Programme Revise Priorities MCDA NO Agreement ? Negotiation YES
Objectives / Criteria Refine Objectives Indicators Reflection Alternatives / Measures More alternatives Data Simulation / Assessment Compromise Models Decision / Programme Revise Priorities MCDA NO Agreement ? Negotiation Tools Negotiation YES
Objectives / Criteria Refine Objectives Indicators Reflection Alternatives / Measures More alternatives Data Simulation / Assessment Compromise Models Decision / Programme Revise Priorities MCDA NO Agreement ? Negotiation Tools Negotiation YES
Objectives / Criteria Refine Objectives Cognitive Mapping Indicators Reflection Alternatives / Measures More alternatives Data Simulation / Assessment Compromise Models Decision / Programme Revise Priorities MCDA NO Agreement ? Negotiation Tools Negotiation YES
Aspects / Reviews • Approaches to management/decision problem • Formal Multi-Criteria Decision tools • Modelling Frameworks • Existing DSS systems • People Issues • Other Issues
Approaches - I • Adaptive management • Argumentative approach • Cognitive Mapping • Cooperative modelling and design • Domains of discourse • Ecosystem approach • Evidential Reasoning • Groups: Negotiation and Consensus building
Approaches -II • Qualitative Reasoning • Rule-based approaches • Scenario analysis • Social Learning • Social multi-criteria decision support • Soft systems approach • Traditional Community Governance
Adaptive Management - 1 • Recognises that because of significant uncertainties in the operation and management of environmental systems and that pre-determined optimal solutions may not be appropriate. • Policy evolves in response to better understanding based on studying the effects and effectiveness of policy changes
Adaptive Management-2 • Recognises significant uncertainty in hydro-ecological systems • Iterative management decisions are “experiments” • Explicit experimental learning procedure to reduce uncertainty • Also better validation of models • Can be “Passive” or “Active”
Adaptive Management: examples • Water Framework Directive cycle • “Room for the River” – the Netherlands • “Managed Retreat” – the U.K. • In-built flexibility (e.g. OPW & Climate Change) - Ireland
Argumentative approach • The study of argumentation is deeplyrooted in various disciplines such as philosophy,logic andlinguistics, • deals with the verbal, contextual, situationaland other pragmatic factors ofcommunication process inareas where logic cannot adequately address the situation.