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Chapter 15. Monetary Policy

Chapter 15. Monetary Policy . and Monetarism, pp. 532-34. Link to syllabus. We may look briefly at the Appendix of this chapter. The Money Demand Curve, Figure 15-1 p. 450. Demand for money depends on nominal income, banking technology,

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Chapter 15. Monetary Policy

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  1. Chapter 15. Monetary Policy and Monetarism, pp. 532-34 Link to syllabus We may look briefly at the Appendix of this chapter.

  2. The Money Demand Curve, Figure 15-1 p. 450. Demand for money depends on nominal income, banking technology, government regulations, opportunity cost of holding money.

  3. Fig 15-3, p. 454. Equilibrium in the Money Market

  4. Fig 15-4 p. 455. The Effect on the Interest Rate of an Increase in the Money Supply

  5. Figure 15-7 p. 459. Monetary Policy and AD

  6. (different textbook) Reserve Requirements 2006.

  7. The Fed Reverses Course (in 2007). Fig. 15-6, p. 497 Tightening monetary policy until late 2006, rapid expansion in late 2007. It’s stayed there since.

  8. The prime interest rate and the Federal funds rate NY Times March 19, 2008 Link to data from the Minneapolis Fed

  9. Yields on CD’s at my bank, March 2007

  10. More Yield Curves

  11. Link to Dynamic Yield Curve http://stockcharts.com/charts/YieldCurve.html

  12. Tracking Monetary Policy. Figure 15-8, p. 460.

  13. Fig 15-9, p. 461. Taylor Rule and Federal Funds Rate Taylor Rule: Federal Funds R=2.07 + 1.28* inflation – 1.95 * Unemp.gap. p. 460 Taylor Rule: interest rate = 1 + 1.5*inflation + 0.5 (Output gap) [previous edition p. 429]

  14. Short Run and Long Run Effects of an Increase in M Figure 15-11, p. 464

  15. The Long Run Determination of the Interest Rate. Figure 15-12 p. 466

  16. The Long Relation between Money and Inflation. Figure 15-13 p. 467

  17. Short Run Determination of the Interest Rate: Liquidity Preference and Loanable Funds Figure 15a-1, page 473 From the Appendix: shows that the two models give consistent answers. Pursuit of this topic is for upper division courses. Not covered in Ec201.

  18. Monetarism (pages 532-34)

  19. Milton Friedman, 1912-2006 Most prominent advocate of a return to free market/non- governmental policies. Influence concretized under President Reagan. Also: leading ‘monetarist’ and a Nobel Prize winner. Consumption function, Floating Exchange Rates, Monetary History of the U.S., Monetary Policy Rule Link to Friedman’s biohttp://www.hoover.org/bios/friedman

  20. Figure 18.4 page 533 Fiscal Policy with a Fixed Money Supply: (Crowding out analysis, repeated)

  21. Equation of Exchange, a.k.a. Velocity equation M x V = P x Y where M is the quantity of money, V is velocity of circulation P is the price index Y is real GDP (Equation 18-1 page 533) Implication: If M increases and V and Y are constant, then P rises. “Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon.”

  22. Figure 18.5 page 534. The Velocity of Money (M1)

  23. Comparisons of Velocities of M Different Text.

  24. Monetary Growth Rule i

  25. Monetary Growth Rule ii

  26. “If monetary policy is like driving a car, then the car is one that has an unreliable speedometer, a foggy windshield and a tendency to respond unpredictably.“ Ben Bernanke. 2002 – pre-Fed days.

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