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MT 340: Quantitative Methods . Dr. Caulk scaulk@regis.edu Quantitative Decision Making 7 th ed by Lapin and Whisler. Goals of this course. Apply mathematical models to situations of decision making Construct decision trees Calculate optimal payoffs and strategies
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MT 340: Quantitative Methods Dr. Caulk scaulk@regis.edu Quantitative Decision Making 7th ed by Lapin and Whisler
Goals of this course • Apply mathematical models to situations of decision making • Construct decision trees • Calculate optimal payoffs and strategies • Formulate and use forecasting methods • Formulate and solve linear optimization problems • Perform sensitivity analysis
Grade Breakdown • Three exams – 20% each • Homework – 35% • Attendance- 5%
Quantitative methods are research techniques that are used to gather quantitative data - information dealing with numbers and anything that is measurable. <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantitative_methods>
Motivation • Controlling inventories • Waiting lines • Mail delivery systems • Reservation systems • Schedules • Locating warehouses, fire-stations • Improve Investing • Distribution of Goods
Models and Decision Making • Learn to select the alternatives that best satisfy the decision maker’s goals. • Identify goals • Identify alternatives • Yardsticks for comparison • Cost • Profit
Mathematical Models • Express the problem mathematically • Variables • Constants (or parameters) • Use formulas to link variables and constants
Inventory Problem • Total annual cost = ordering cost + holding cost + procurement cost • Objective Minimize: Total annual cost =(A/Q)k+hc(Q/2)+Ac Where A = annual number of items demanded k = cost of placing an order h = annual cost per dollar value for holding items in inventory c = unit cost of procuring an item Q = order quantity