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Performance for Investors. Using Valuation Concepts for Measuring Performance. Setting. Investor has agreed to support a new company for one year. Will review at end of year to determine whether company is meeting cost of capital requirements
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Performance for Investors Using Valuation Concepts for Measuring Performance
Setting • Investor has agreed to support a new company for one year. • Will review at end of year to determine whether company is meeting cost of capital requirements • Company formed by experienced insurance executive
Annual Policies Risk Free Rate = 6% Premiums paid .3 yrs after policy is written Expenses paid same time Losses paid over 9 yrs, average loss paid .833 years after occurrence. Taxes paid according to 1986 TRA Example assumes no market risk Security Fund is investable assets less market value of liabilities Prem/Security Fund Ratio is 2/1 Assumptions
Review Time • The company writes a million dollars worth of premiums during the first year. • All investor cash flows are discounted at 6% • Standard Accounting Documents show rotten results • Shareholder Value Accounting (SVA) shows everything right on schedule.
Accounting Numbers are Incomplete • Accounting Profits change with growth. • Such changes are not related to performance • Writing typical standard auto policy requires incorporating future value. • Taking on investment risk may be inappropriate for P/C Insurance Companies
Security Fund Operating Return SVA Standard Profit SVA Profit Invested Assets less funded liabilities Sum of Insurance Cash Flows (Premiums, Losses, Expenses and FIT) including Investment Income earned on those cash flows Shareholder Value Accounting Operating Profit plus Investment Income from Capital Standard Profit plus (minus) change in Future Value Glossary of Terms