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Comovement of Economic Variables and Business Cycles Stylized Facts based on Chapter 3

Outline of the class:. Characteristics of comovement: (a) correlation; (b) relative volatility; (c) leading/lagging Behavior of main economic variables during the business cycles . Correlation of economic variables:. Variables X and Y are said to be positively correlated if X is likely to in

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Comovement of Economic Variables and Business Cycles Stylized Facts based on Chapter 3

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    1. Comovement of Economic Variables and Business Cycles Stylized Facts (based on Chapter 3)

    2. Outline of the class: Characteristics of comovement: (a) correlation; (b) relative volatility; (c) leading/lagging Behavior of main economic variables during the business cycles

    3. Correlation of economic variables: Variables X and Y are said to be positively correlated if X is likely to increase when Y increases X is likely to decrease when Y decreases Variables X and Y are said to be negatively correlated if X is likely to decrease when Y increases X is likely to increase when Y decreases Positive or negative correlation can be illustrated on a time series plot (plot X and Y against time) or on a scatter plot (plot X against Y for different observations)

    4. Two graphical ways of illustrating correlation

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