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Outline of the class:. Characteristics of comovement: (a) correlation; (b) relative volatility; (c) leading/lagging Behavior of main economic variables during the business cycles . Correlation of economic variables:. Variables X and Y are said to be positively correlated if X is likely to in
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1. Comovement of Economic Variables and Business Cycles Stylized Facts (based on Chapter 3)
2. Outline of the class: Characteristics of comovement: (a) correlation;(b) relative volatility;(c) leading/lagging
Behavior of main economic variables during the business cycles
3. Correlation of economic variables: Variables X and Y are said to be positively correlated if
X is likely to increase when Y increases
X is likely to decrease when Y decreases
Variables X and Y are said to be negatively correlated if
X is likely to decrease when Y increases
X is likely to increase when Y decreases
Positive or negative correlation can be illustrated
on a time series plot (plot X and Y against time) or
on a scatter plot (plot X against Y for different observations)
4. Two graphical ways of illustrating correlation