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Family Developments in the New Member States (NMS)

Family Developments in the New Member States (NMS). Zsolt Spéder Demographic Research Institute, Budapest. Outline of the presentation. Basic trends of family formations and some subjective evaluation Partnerships: cohabitation and/or Marriage TFMR , ratio of cohabitation Fertility

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Family Developments in the New Member States (NMS)

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  1. Family Developments in the New Member States (NMS) Zsolt Spéder Demographic Research Institute, Budapest

  2. Outline of the presentation • Basic trends of family formations and some subjective evaluation • Partnerships: cohabitation and/or Marriage • TFMR, ratio of cohabitation • Fertility • TFR, Postponement • Leaving the parental home

  3. NMS countries in comparison • The counties: • Former communist countries (New Member States = NMS) (Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, Slovenia, Romania, Bulgaria) • Selected Western countries (Norway, France, Germany, Spain) • Former communist countries of Soviet union (Russia, Ukraine, Georgia)

  4. Total first marriage rates (TFMR), 1988–2003

  5. „Marriage is an outdated institution”(Proportion of "disagreeing” respondents /GGS/)

  6. „Marriage is a lifetime institution”(Proportion of "agreeing” respondents /GGS/)

  7. Partnership forms of young adults Ratio of cohabitation and marriage among all partnered (ages 21–35)

  8. Total divorce rates (TDR),1988–2003

  9. Total fertility rates (TFR),1988–2006

  10. Most recent TFR:Is there (enough) „recuperation” (everywhere)?

  11. Proportion of births out of wedlock,1988–2006 (EUROSTAT)

  12. The relevance of children in women’s life „A woman needs children to have a fulfilled life” (Ratio agree, GGS)

  13. The relevance of children in men’s life „A man needs children to have a fulfilled life” (Ratio agree, GGS)

  14. Mean ultimately intended family size of women aged 25–39and TFR by country Source:Testa, R.M. (2007): Childbearing prefrences and family issues in Europe: evidence from Eurobarométer 2005 survey. Vienna Yearbook of Population Reserch 357–379.

  15. Expected negative labor market consequences of a childbirth(ratio of expecting worse)

  16. Expected joy and satisfaction of a childbirth(ratio of expecting more joy and satisfaction)

  17. Family and living arrangementsof young adults, aged 21–35 (ESS)

  18. Summary • Strong homogeneity in fertility trends but in-homogeneity in partnership trends • Will be different/new types of „family regimes”? • The transition is not (yet) closed • More plurality!

  19. Thank you for your attention!

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