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Direct linkages between climate change and altered disturbance (Rupp/Jones);

Direct linkages between climate change and altered disturbance (Rupp/Jones);. Monthly Talks:. Fire dynamics – Rupp and Kasischke River dynamics – Jones and Kielland Permafrost dynamics – Kenji. Empirical relationships Defined and published Analysis stage Needs addressed

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Direct linkages between climate change and altered disturbance (Rupp/Jones);

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  1. Direct linkages between climate change and altered disturbance (Rupp/Jones);

  2. Monthly Talks: • Fire dynamics – Rupp and Kasischke • River dynamics – Jones and Kielland • Permafrost dynamics – Kenji • Empirical relationships • Defined and published • Analysis stage • Needs addressed • Modeling driving variables • Retrospective – legacy effects • Prospective – future conditions (ISSE loops)

  3. Products: • Mapping fire severity special issue of IJWF (Kasischke, Verbyla, et al.) • Retrospective-Prospective fire modeling framework (Duffy, Rupp, and Mann) • Fire severity effects synthesis (Kasischke, Johnstone, Hollingsworth, Rupp, et al.) • River dynamics synthesis (Kielland and Jones) • River geomorphology perspective (Jones et al.)

  4. Products: • BioScience synthesis paper • Define disturbance regime characteristics matrix • Summary description of individual disturbance regime characteristics • Identify regime linkages and interactions • Outline integrative framework to further landscape understanding

  5. 2) The species that drive successional trajectories and how community responses might be influenced by climate change and/or altered disturbance regimes (Mack/Hollingsworth) • Talks should focus on key functional groups and species: • N fixers (Ruess) • Microbes (Taylor) • Vertebrate herbivores (Kielland) • Mosses (??) • Grasses (Michelle)

  6. 2)The species that drive successional trajectories and how community responses might be influenced by climate change and/or altered disturbance regimes (Mack/Hollingsworth) • How does the key species/functional groups respond to climate variability and change across the landscape? • How do changes in disturbance regimes interact with legacies to affect biological players? • a. Effect of species on ecosystem processes (e.g., the “legacy” of the species) • b. Effect of legacies of other things (e.g., disturbance, other species) on the key species • 3) How does this key group interact with human dimensions? • Talks should focus on key functional groups and species: • N fixers (Ruess) • Microbes (Taylor) • Vertebrate herbivores (Kielland) • Mosses (??) • Grasses (Michelle)

  7. 2) The species that drive successional trajectories and how community responses might be influenced by climate change and/or altered disturbance regimes (Mack/Hollingsworth) • Talks should focus on key functional groups and species: • N fixers (Ruess) • Microbes (Taylor) • Vertebrate herbivores (Kielland) • Mosses (??) • Grasses (Michelle) Other products: Potential for an integrative manuscript across the four groups

  8. 3) The consequences of changing successional dynamics on ecosystem processes (Juday/Valentine). Mechanisms that drive biome-level change, and threat assessments for future changes Succession and transition shifts – what key species are changing and what are the ecosystem and societal consequences? Anticipating change – designing methodologies to capture the unexpected occurring at unknown spatial scales.

  9. 3) The consequences of changing successional dynamics on ecosystem processes (Juday/Valentine). • Mechanisms that drive biome-level change, and threat assessments for future changes • Talks: • Changing moisture regimes – ecosystem consequences of species change (Yarie/Turetsky) • Consequences of insects/pathogens outbreaks (Mulder) • Controls over supply of ecosystem services and societal responses to changes in those services (Kofinas) • SWAT team approach to documenting biome-level changes (Valentine) Succession and transition shifts – what key species are changing and what are the ecosystem and societal consequences? Anticipating change – designing methodologies to capture the unexpected occurring at unknown spatial scales.

  10. What else do we want to get out of monthly meetings?? Field trips this summer? Key core data sets required for synthesis on succession? Importance of talks before the site visit? What are you going to do this summer? – talk with Jay 3 slides from everyone what they are doing relates to the proposal Someone needs to moderate the session – send powerpoint Translating this stuff into policy-relevant form transform in the most policy relevant format

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