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European Experts’ Symposium Future and Emerging Issues in Technology Enhanced Professional Learning. Technology trends and their Impact on learning, training, processes and organizations. Wayne Hodgins Strategic Futurist Autodesk Inc. Athens, Greece December 19, 2005. 0.
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European Experts’ Symposium Future and Emerging Issuesin Technology Enhanced Professional Learning Technology trends and their Impact on learning, training, processes and organizations Wayne Hodgins Strategic Futurist Autodesk Inc. Athens, Greece December 19, 2005
0 President & Co-Founder Learnativity.org Chair, IEEE Learning Technology Standards Committee Learning Object Metadata Strategic Futurist wayne.hodgins@autodesk.com Strategic Advisor Director: Worldwide Learning Strategies Strategic Executive Services
Innovation not replication! • Let’s stop “flapping” • and replicating past artifacts • Let’s start thinking • DIFFERENTLY!! How does this apply to YOU?!
LEADERSHIPbyEXAMPLE Look Around! Psssssst! That’s YOU too!
Content, Competencies Context Content CONTENT COMPETENCIES CONTEXT CONTEXT Competencies “C-ing the Future”
“C-ing” the Future • Content • Get small! • Evolving toward a supply chain model • Repositories, GUIDs, discovery, resolution • Metadata: tagging everything with everything • Dynamic assembly AND delivery • Competencies • Are following similar exponential curve and revolution as content • Severe granularity: Skills, Knowledge, Abilities, Behaviors • Link to content objects OBJECTIVES are the critical “connective tissue”!! • Context • Location based learning • Subjective metadata, pattern recognition, etc.
Revolutionary Transformation • FROM ▬►TO • =========================================================== • Macro / Monolithic▬►Micro • “just in case”▬►“just enough” • “any” time/place▬►“just the right” • Searching▬►Finding • Instructor/Instruction centric▬►Learner/Learning centric • Time to learn▬►Time to performance • Prescriptive▬► Performance • Episodic ▬► Continuous • Consistency▬►Diversity • mass production▬►mass customization • Publishing few to many ▬►mass contribution • Mass market▬► Massive Micro markets • Data less guessing ▬►data driven dashboards • Tables, charts, lists ▬►data visualization • Manual metadata▬►automated metadata eg. categorization • e-Training▬►me - Learning
GLOBAL META TRENDS • Small • Disappearing (digital ink/paint) • Reappearing (basics) • Standards based • Smart • NOT intelligent • Memory augmentation • Helping me know what I don’t know that I do know • Decision support • Special • You ARE a snowflake! • Social • Collaboration • Communication (CoIP) • Mass contribution • Scattered • All the pieces are there, but…………..
The future is already here. It is just not evenly distributed! - William Gibson Premature Arrival of the Future Our goal should be to put “The art of the possible” into practice TODAY!
Strategic Partnerships: • Strategic Corporate Philanthropy • Future role of NGO’s, developing markets & regions • Research opportunities • What if…. • Scarcity based development • Enhanced environments • “leap frog” scenarios for rapid change • Lack of existing infrastructure,
There’s one in YOUR future!! And another one right behind it! DisruptiveInnovation!
Perfecting the Irrelevant?!! • Are we all very very very busy doing this???
IMPACT ON LEARNING • Learning becoming a corporate and global IMPERATIVE • Following the pattern of IT? • Redefining roles • Evolution not elimination • eg radio • Aggressive Patience: Allowing emergence vs design • However, saving the best and most important for last.
Grand Vision And some Grand Challenges
Grand Vision • In a word? PERSONALIZATION • (Or if you insist on a prefix call it..) • meLearning! • Personalized Learning Experiences for every person every day • all 6.2 billion of us -- every day!! • Just for me and just right: • Time, place, amount, device, medium, way… • On demand, adaptive • Markets of one: Billions of Markets • Learning in ALL forms: • Formal AND informal • not just online, on computer, on screen • “When the learner is ready the ‘teacher’ will appear.”
EVERY Cada Uno El aprender sérhver einn lærdómur 0 každý jeden učenost 有らゆる 某 伝習 Каждо Одно Учить Cada Um Aprendizagem svaki neki znanje Jedes Ein Lernen каждый один ученость sulum unus eruditio toda um aprendendo cada un aprendizaje 각 1개 배움 あらゆる 1 つ 勉強 ONE Elk Het leren varje en inlärningen Ogni Uno Imparare her bir bilgi joka ainoa oppi 每 一個 學習 fiecare unul Learning mind egy tanulás svaki pojedinac znanje Κάθε Ένας Εκμάθηση al mulig sig indlæring sleherni nedoločni zaimek učenje każdy jeden wiedza bawa't isa mag-aral LEARNING Hver En Å læring Каждый Один Изучение Chaque Un Étude enhver ettall innlæring всеки един наука todos los días un aprendizaje
GRAND CHALLENGES: 0 EVERY! ANY
EVERY one online? (in millions as of 2002) Source: NUA Internet Surveys
EVERY one online? (in millions as of 2002) Europe: Population, total: 729,075,181 Source: NUA Internet Surveys
GRAND CHALLENGES: 0 EVERY ONE ANY
Getting to ONE: Just the right…. UP • Just the right CONTENT, to • Just the right PERSON, with • Just the right PARTNERS, at • Just the right TIME, on • Just the right DEVICE, in • Just the right CONTEXT, and • Just the right WAY
Singularity GRAND CHALLENGES: 0 EVERY LEARNING ONE ANY
Learning • augmenting our COGNITIVE limitations • Getting better at getting better • Unlearning • applying existing and emerging research!
EVERY Cada Uno El aprender sérhver einn lærdómur 0 každý jeden učenost 有らゆる 某 伝習 Каждо Одно Учить Cada Um Aprendizagem svaki neki znanje Jedes Ein Lernen каждый один ученость sulum unus eruditio toda um aprendendo cada un aprendizaje 각 1개 배움 あらゆる 1 つ 勉強 ONE Elk Het leren varje en inlärningen Ogni Uno Imparare her bir bilgi joka ainoa oppi 每 一個 學習 fiecare unul Learning mind egy tanulás svaki pojedinac znanje Κάθε Ένας Εκμάθηση al mulig sig indlæring sleherni nedoločni zaimek učenje każdy jeden wiedza bawa't isa mag-aral LEARNING Hver En Å læring Каждый Один Изучение Chaque Un Étude enhver ettall innlæring всеки един наука todos los días un aprendizaje
ThankYou!! For Questions, Critiques, Comments Please contact me directly at: wayne.hodgins@autodesk.com
The Future of Learning is: • Personalized • Based on: • Performance • Patterns • Standards • Small, granular, modular • Dynamic, on demand • Learnativity: • Integration of work, learn, play, live • Creativity, innovation, productivity