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Using FEPF for a Go/No Go decision

Using FEPF for a Go/No Go decision. Scenario Dixie National Forest East Fork FMU. We will meet objectives with this ignition. Land Management Plan Objectives – Where all Forest Service unplanned ignition objectives come from. LMP Objectives. Output. input.

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Using FEPF for a Go/No Go decision

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  1. Using FEPF for a Go/No Go decision

  2. Scenario Dixie National Forest East Fork FMU

  3. We will meet objectives with this ignition Land Management Plan Objectives – Where all Forest Service unplanned ignition objectives come from.. LMP Objectives Output input With the proper input the Fire Effects Planning Framework (FEPF) will give you information on whether a given ignition - will or will not meet a set of objectives. Fire Effects Planning Framework

  4. Dixie National Forest – East Fork FMU Paunsaugunt Plateau Resource Objectives: Restore Aspen - >300 acres of high severity burn within ¼ m of existing POTR Maintain/restore Ponderosa pine - do not kill large PIPO CROWN FIRE POTENTIAL in non-PIPO conifer within ¼ m of existing Potr Compare FLAME LENGTH to stand height and canopy base height

  5. IGNITION Size up, fire projection, gut-feeling: where’s it likely to go what’s it likely to do

  6. We will meet objectives with this ignition Output input With the proper input the Fire Effects Planning Framework (FEPF) will give you information on whether a given ignition - will or will not meet a set of objectives. Fire Effects Planning Framework Local Experience – critical for model calibration Local Experience

  7. We will meet objectives with this ignition Output NFDRS Plans - Useful for determining appropriate weather station, key thresholds, i.e. season ending/slowing events. input NFDRS Plan With the proper input the Fire Effects Planning Framework (FEPF) will give you information on whether a given ignition - will or will not meet a set of objectives. Fire Effects Planning Framework

  8. Fire start Data Needed/ Data Used • Weather information • Color Country FMP/NFDRS Plan (Bryce RAWS) • Extracted threshold % weather from FireFamily+

  9. We will meet objectives with this ignition Output GIS Data Input GIS Data – spatial modeling With the proper input the Fire Effects Planning Framework (FEPF) will give you information on whether a given ignition - will or will not meet a set of objectives. Fire Effects Planning Framework

  10. 90th% conditions Res.Obj. Benefit Risk__ PIPO 1112(ac) 606 (ac) POTR 641(ac) -

  11. Actual weather stream used in Farsite projection Res.Obj. Benefit Risk__ PIPO 1547(ac) 415 (ac)

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