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Scientists: Which scientific advance has had the most impact on people’s everyday lives?. #3: Darwin’s theory of evolution. Scientists: Which scientific advance has had the most impact on people’s everyday lives?. #3: Darwin’s theory of evolution. #2: Einstein’s relativity (cold war).
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Scientists: Which scientific advance has had the most impact on people’s everyday lives? #3: Darwin’s theory of evolution
Scientists: Which scientific advance has had the most impact on people’s everyday lives? #3: Darwin’s theory of evolution #2: Einstein’s relativity (cold war)
Scientists: Which scientific advance has had the most impact on people’s everyday lives? #3: Darwin’s theory of evolution #2: Einstein’s relativity (cold war) #1: Newton’s Calculus
Calculus: the Science of Change No single thing abides,but all things flow - Heraclitus
Example: Climate change • Global mean temperature • Rate of change consistent with natural causes? • OR is human activity implicated? • What else changes due to global warming? • Sea ice extent • …? ? ?
Think of a quantity you might measure • How fast is it changing: • over a decade? • a year? • a month? • a day? • a second? • right now?
Calculus: the Science of Change Monday Sept. 13Univariate Calculus 1 Derivative: the RATE OF CHANGE Taylor series approximations Differentiating data
The Chain Rule:Latitude 1o = 110km
Unit conversion The CHAIN RULE
The Chain Rule EXAMPLES:
Higher-order derivatives EXAMPLES
Extrema maximum minimum inflection point
Taylor series power of h=x-x0 constant derivative at x0
Negating the argument EXAMPLE:
Negating the argument EXAMPLE:
Approximating the derivative Observational data analysis Numerical modeling Forwarddifference approximation Error ~ O(h)
Approximating the derivative Observational data analysis Numerical modeling Forwarddifference approximation Error ~ O(h) Backwarddifference
Forward and backward differences FD actual BD
Approximating the derivative Forwarddifference Backwarddifference SUM
Approximating the derivative Forwarddifference Backwarddifference SUM /2
Approximating the derivative Forwarddifference Backwarddifference SUM /2 Centereddifference Error ~ O(h2)
Approximating the 2nd derivative Forwarddifference Backwarddifference SUBTRACT /h Centereddifference Error ~ O(h2)
Application: error analysis Floodwaters in the Kalama Gap V?
Curvature Gentle turn Sharp turn