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Taking the Mystery Out of Retirement Seminar #1. Central Arkansas Library System. Session1 : Taking the Mystery Out of Retirement. Retirement Financial Planning: What Is It? Your Goals Your Time Horizon Net Worth & Cash Flow Sources of Retirement Income Withdrawals Workbook
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Taking the Mystery Out of Retirement Seminar #1 Central Arkansas Library System
Session1 :Taking the Mystery Out of Retirement • Retirement Financial Planning: What Is It? • Your Goals • Your Time Horizon • Net Worth & Cash Flow • Sources of Retirement Income • Withdrawals • Workbook • Homework
Goals • Identify goals • Time horizon • Identify barriers • Review periodically • Prioritize
Financial Goals For Retirement • DON’T OUTLIVE MY MONEY! • Maintain current standard of living • Grandchild’s education • Bequests to charities • Leave an inheritance • Start a new business
Personal Goals For Retirement • Part time work • New Career or Business • Travel • Hobbies • Volunteering • Back To School
Some Typical Goals • Retire in 2014 (in 5 years) with $15,000 in annual income, plus Social Security. • Pay 25% of the college tuition for my two grandchildren.
Your Time Horizon • When will you need the money ? • In 15 years? • In 5 years? • This year?
Your Time Horizon • How long will you need the money? • For one day (major purchase) • Four years (e.g. college education) • Thirty years (retirement)
Maximum and Minimum Real Returns Over 1 Year (1802-1997) 1-year returns after inflation: Stocks, bonds, cash
Maximum and Minimum Real Returns Over 5 Years (1802-1997) 5-year returns after inflation: Stocks, bonds, cash
Maximum and Minimum Real Returns Over 20 Years (1802-1997) 20-year returns after inflation: Stocks, bonds, cash
Where Do I Stand Now? • Net Worth • Cash Flow statement
Net Worth • Assets – Liabilities = Net Worth • Use assets • Invested assets • Good debt vs. bad debt
Cash Flow Statement Inflows – Outflows = Excess (or deficiency) $50,000, inflows – $45,000, outflows = $5,000, excess available for saving Positive cash flow Paycheck to paycheck Negative cash flow
Retirement Income Sources • Social Security • Pensions • Retirement Plans • Personal Investments • Work • Rental Income
Retirement Income Sources Social Security Full retirement age is 67 Start as early as 62 Average monthly benefit $1153 Benefit Statement www.ssa.gov
Retirement Income Sources Pensions Rapid decline in availability Approach with care: lump sum vs annuity Real value – COLA Are you eligible for a pension? Pension Action Center - www.pensionaction.org Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp - www.pbgc.gov U.S. Dept of Labor - www.dol.gov/ebsa 866-444-ebsa (3274)
Retirement Income Sources Retirement Plans 401(k),403(b),457 IRAs Self-employed plans
Retirement Income Sources Personal Investments Stocks Bonds Mutual funds Real estate CDs
What is a Stock? • A security signifying ownership (equity) in a company, representing a residual claim on the company’s assets • There is risk in owning stock • Short-term volatility • Higher expected return (especially for holding periods longer than 10 years)
What is a Bond? • Debt investment similar to I.O.U.s —lending money to a corporation, government, or government agency • Stable income though market price fluctuates
What is a Mutual Fund? • Mutual Funds are pools of stocks, bonds, and other securities that perform as one investment • Benefits: • diversification • low transaction cost compared to assembling a portfolio on your own • liquidity • professional management
Retirement Income Sources Asset Allocation What should it be?
Projecting Retirement Expenses and Income Most people Overestimate retirement income and Underestimate retirement expenses.
Retirement Expenses So where do you get help estimating your income and expenses? Your workbook Internet www.dol.gov/ebsa www.aarp.org Retirement providers
Retirement Expenses Consumer Price Index 2007 and 2008 • Core CPI: Food & energy not included 2007: 2.4% 2008: 1.8% • Headline CPI: Food & energy included 2007: 4.1% 2008: 0.1% • The average rate of inflation from 1926 to 2003 was 3.1%
What is inflation? • Overall upward price movement of goods and services in the economy • Assume 3% inflation rate, you would need more each year for the same purchasing power: • Year 1: $56,000 • Year 2: $57,680 • Year 3: $59,410 • Year 4: $61,193
Retirement Expenses Working income: $50,000 Retirement income: $35,000
Retirement Expenses How much can you withdraw? As a general guideline, most experts suggest 4%
Funding Your Retirement Do the pieces fit together? • Social Security • Pensions • Tax-deferred retirement plans • Investments • Work ??? • Smart spending
Your Retirement Plan • Goals • Time Horizon • Net Worth & Cash Flow • Income & Expenses • Withdrawals
Workbook Taking The Mystery Out Of Retirement Planning
Homework • Break into groups run by a facilitator • Complete worksheets A, B, C, & D • But before we break, I’d like to talk about future presentations
Coming next Closing the Gap: Investment and Expense Strategies – Even for Late Starters! Investing Wisely to Avoid the Financial Risk of Longer Life Expectancy Protecting Your Investments – The Best Defense is a Wise and Safe Investor
You Can Get There From Here! Now you can break into your groups