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Welcome to MAF Biosecurity New Zealand’s Didymo Science Seminar. Christina Vieglais, Didymo Science Programme Leader. 24 July 2007, Wellington. Introductions.
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Welcome to MAF Biosecurity New Zealand’s Didymo Science Seminar Christina Vieglais, Didymo Science Programme Leader 24 July 2007, Wellington
Introductions • MAFBNZ Didymo Response Team (Chris Bicknell, Frances Velvin, Jan Amann, Lesley Wilson, Judith Hamblyn, Jeff Donaldson, Fleur Petricevich, Matt Thorpe) • Our Sponsor • Andrew Harrison, Chief Technical Officer and Acting Director of Post Border
MAF BNZ Post Border Group • Committed to developing a programme with partners to manage didymo into the future • Knowledge gained during the incursion response can enable partners to make well-informed decisions • Sharing of knowledge, skills and resources is vital to effective long term management
Investigate Initial Response Eradicate Control Manage Detect Assessment Criteria Assessment Criteria New Arrivals
Incursion Response Policy Key criteria to determine an appropriate response • The technical feasibility of achieving the response objectives using the measures proposed; and • The costs and benefits associated with the response objectives and measures proposed (including social, environmental, cultural costs and benefits)
Assessment Criteria • Technical feasibility ←science • Practical • Benefit – cost • Strategic • Acceptable • Priority • Resource availability
100 >95% = significant >90% = beyond reasonable doubt <95% = not significant >75% = compelling evidence 80 >51% = preponderance of evidence 60 40 <51% = not guilty 20 Science Judiciary Source: Haas, Glen, E., Journal of Forestry Sept 2003 Required Burden of Proof
Didymo Response Challenges • Absence of basic information • Potential for economic, environmental, cultural and social impacts • No known methods for control or eradication • Can’t control natural pathways of spread • Requires change in human behavior to reduce spread
Didymo Science Programme Objectives To provide validated information on identification, detection, distribution, impacts, containment, control To Inform decision-making on response options What are the impacts and risks? Can we contain, control or eradicate???
DISTRIBUTION CONTROL Need validated information Questions Studies • What harm will it cause? • Where else is it? • How will we know if it has spread? • Can we keep it from spreading? • Can we reduce the pop / impacts? IMPACTS
IMPACTS CONTROL Didymo Science / Technical Studies • Ecology I and II • Trout Impacts • Likely Environments Map • Sampling Methods • Delimiting Surveys • Molecular Detection • Decontamination • Survival • Control Methods • Spring-fed Creeks DISTRIBUTION
Potential Impacts in Nov 2004 Initial anecdotal observations included: -Environmental (other algae, insects, fish) -Health (itchy eyes & skin) -Water Quality (taste and odour) -Recreational (fishing, boating etc) -Aesthetic (unattractive) -Economic (clogging water intakes, fishing)
Didymo Organism Impact Assessment What are the impacts to values not easily measured? • Delphic Study – perceived impacts Current Assessment: High to extreme impacts on all core values (environmental, economic, social and cultural) Can we measure any quantitative impacts? • Science Studies: Ecology and Trout Studies
Didymo Economic Impact Assessment Assessment of potential economic impacts if didymo spreads • provides a baseline relative to which to assess incursion response options • avoidance of or reduction in impacts comprises the benefits of intervention, for comparison with control costs Potential present value impact over eight years est. $57 to 285 million
Impact Study Outputs • Ecology I - algae, benthic inverts (completed Dec 2005) • Ecology II – plus drift inverts, native fish, pH, DO(today) • Trout Impacts - (today) • Eco study results used in conjunction with LEM may reduce uncertainty about potential ecological impacts to specific sites Transfer to Partners
Potential distribution - South Island High Low Habitat Suitability
High Low Potential distribution - North Island Suitable habitats in NZ
Synedra (up to ~200 mm) Gomphoneis Navicula (20-70 mm) Gomphoneis (60-100 mm) Frustulia (50-60 mm) Gomphonema (up to ~100 mm) Diatoma (15-40 mm) Didymosphenia (80 – 130 mm) Encyonema (20-40 mm) 50 mm Epithemia (20-60 mm) Cymbella (25-35 mm) Tabellaria (30-50 mm) Achnanthidium (5-25 mm)
Distribution Study Outputs • Delimiting Surveys(ongoing since Dec 04) • Likely Environments Map I(completed Mar 05) • Sampling Methods Study(completed Sep 06) • DNA Detection Study(today) • Sampling and Analysis Protocols(in use) • Updated LEM(today) Transfer to Partners
Didymo Control • Preliminary lit review : No proven control methods • Decontamination methods showed promise • RFP notified to trial control methods • Efficacy, impacts, feasibility, duration, and costs • Nine proposals received; NIWA commissioned • Chemical control most likely solution, if any
Control Study Outputs • DecontaminationStudy (completed Feb 05) • SurvivalStudy(completed Dec 06) • Control Trials (today) • Spring-fed Creek Study(today) • Cleaning Methods (completed) • Potential Control Tools(dependent on results) Transfer to Partners
Purpose of Seminar • facilitate technical knowledge transfer • assist partners in making technical decisions • bring closure to the 2006/07 scientific research programme • update partners on the 2007/08 operational programme.
Collective Effort • Biosecurity New Zealand Didymo Incursion Response Team • Didymo Technical Advisory Group – expert objective advice • Didymo Science Providers – desktop, laboratory and field studies • Didymo LTM Partners – skills, experience, wisdom
Didymo Response and LTM Objectives • slow the spread of didymo and other freshwater pests throughout New Zealand • protect valued sites and at risk species • mitigate the impacts of didymo on affected sectors • maintain the North Island free of didymo for as long as possible