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Transformation of the LEWS Program to a Livestock Information Network & Knowledge System (LINKS)

LINKS. Global Livestock CRSP LINKS. Transformation of the LEWS Program to a Livestock Information Network & Knowledge System (LINKS).

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Transformation of the LEWS Program to a Livestock Information Network & Knowledge System (LINKS)

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  1. LINKS Global Livestock CRSP LINKS Transformation of the LEWS Program to a Livestock Information Network& Knowledge System (LINKS) …..extending the technical and human capacity developed for livestock early warning systems to meet market information needs and decision support for livestock producers in East Africa Lead Institution:Texas A&M University System Dr. Jerry Stuth, PI

  2. PHYGROW Model …a hydrologic based forage production model that accommodates multiple plants and multiple grazers Precipitation Plant Interception (Evaporation) Min/Max Temperature Solar Radiation Transpiration Stem Flow Throughfall Transpiration Soil Evaporation Selective Grazing With Stocking Density Rules Infiltration Surface Ponding Evaporation Runoff Infiltration Lateral Flow Water Channel Deep Percolation Water Table

  3. Integration of Models and Imagery Max Temperature Regional Forage Maps MinTemperature Geostatistical Analysis PHYGROW Model Servers Rainfall Climate Imagery Site Analysis with 90-Day Forecasting

  4. How stable are the predictions? Tsavo Above Normal Predicted -57 % Observed -45 % On March 1, 2003 two highly contrasting locations in near proximity were contrasted and later compared with current predictions on May 20, 2003 Predicted -48 % Observed -52 % Makindu Alert

  5. Expected Change In Forage Conditions by July 2003 Forage Conditions Late May 2003

  6. METEOSAT7 Infrared Data Pathfinder AVHRR AfriStar Satellite Monitoring Entity Satellite Radio Linked to PC NASA Goddard NDVI NOAA Climate Prediction Center RFE Weather Server TAMU-CNRIT Server LEWS Analysis Portal (PHYGROW, Mapping Automation) WorldSpace Foundation Server ALIN RANET Data CD’s USGS/EROS FEWS NET ASARECA CMO @ Internet

  7. LEWS ASARECA PARTNERS Ethiopia – Ethiopian Agricultural Research Organization Kenya – KARI, ALRMP, Ministry of Agriculture & Rural Dev. Tanzania – Ministry of Water and Livestock Development Uganda – National Agricultural Research Organization OTHER LEWS PARTNERS ASARECA Animal Research Network Crisis Mitigation Office International Livestock Research Institute Regional Center for Mapping Resource Development Drought Monitoring Center Famine Early Warning Systems Network Intergovernmental Authority for Development (IGAD) Arid Land Information Network (ALIN) ACMAD RANET FARMAFRICA Mpala Research Centre

  8. Building LEWS Regional Teams and Capacity

  9. Vegetation Diversity in East Africa

  10. Regional NIRS Diet:Fecal Studies Mpwapwa, Tanzania Adami Tulu, Ethiopia Kiboko, Kenya Mbarara, Uganda

  11. PHYGROW Validation Vegetation Characterization Predicted herbaceous standing crop (kg/ha) verses actual clipped standing crop under grazing Forage Estimation

  12. Stakeholder Harmonization and Site Monitor Training

  13. Building Institutional Awareness

  14. Building Community Awareness and Confidence

  15. Understanding Community Perception of LEWS Relative to their Forage Situation

  16. Institutional Commitment • Minister (L&W) supportive, LEWS included in Government Budget 2003/4 • A LEWS office being set up and personnel appointed to facilitate linkages (PM office, Food Security Dept. , other EWS) • Livestock Early Warning alerts reported at monthly management meetings at the Ministry • Training at national level for policy makers planned • Markets improved, Tanzania Livestock Marketing Project to be an agency Rehabilitated Market

  17. PARIMA-LEWSPastoral Livestock MarketingJoint Study Objective: Identifying feasible interventions to convert mortality losses into marketed offtake Desta 1999 • Two issues: • 1. What factors limit pastoralists' marketed off-take response? • 2. What might be done to foster more responsive pastoral • livestock marketing systems by relaxing those constraints?

  18. Rift Valley Fever Working Group Red Sea Livestock Trade Commission AU-IBAR - Nairobi Columbia University East Africa Texas A&M University Drought Monitoring Center - Nairobi Regional Center for Mapping Resource Development - Nairobi

  19. LINKS Livestock Information Network and Knowledge System For Enhanced Pastoral Livelihoods in East Africa Core Program – Design and deploy new communication and information technology to create a livestock information system (LINKS) to support decision making at multiple scales from policy makers to pastoral communities within livestock market chains of Eastern Module 1 – Expand the forecasting capacity of LINKS via the development of a spatial model of livestock movement and market offtake given constraints of forage, water, disease, conflict and market prices Module 2 – Capacity Building/Institutionalization of LINKS system within partner institutions

  20. LINKS Livestock Information Network and Knowledge System 1) Livestock Market Locations 2) Livestock Movement Routes 3) Water Capacity Along Routes 4) Cross Border Movement 5) Forage Conditions 6) Disease Quarantine Zones 7) Transport Network 8) Seasonal Migratory Patterns of Livestock 9) Livestock Prices and Volume ...and many more

  21. Updated Livestock Statistics 1998-2000 Updated Water Infrastructure For Livestock Markets Database

  22. Livestock Market & Information System

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