LeeRoy Bronner, Ph.D., P.E. Master Student: Akeila Richards Morgan State University

1. Integrating Multi-Agent Technology with Cognitive Modeling to Develop an Insurgency Information Framework (IIF) LeeRoy Bronner, Ph.D., P.E. Master Student: Akeila Richards Morgan State University Department of Industrial, Manufacturing, and Information Systems Engineering 5200 Perring Parkway Baltimore, MD 21251

2. Agenda • Overview • Why This Research? • Definitions • Problem Definition • Insurgency Research System • Methodology • Agent Development Environment • Object-Oriented Development Life Cycle • Model Driven Architecture • Multi-Agent Development Process • Tools Requirements • Conclusion

3. Why This Research? • This Research Addresses Decision Support • Systems • Rapid and Accurate Decision Making That • Improves Over Time (Adaptive Systems) • This Research Provides A System Approach • For Resolving Problems That Arise in Social • System Environments • Develop A Framework For Decision Making • This Research Does Not Address Prediction!

4. Definitions Insurgency:an armed rebellion by any irregular armed force that rises up against an established authority, government, or administration. Those carrying out an insurgency are insurgents. Insurgentsconduct sabotage and harassment. Insurgents usually are in opposition to a civil authority or government primarily in the hope of improving their condition. Terrorism:systematic use of terror, manifesting itself in violence and intimidation. Those carrying out terrorism are terrorist. Terrorist conduct violence for the purposeof creating fear in order to achieve a political, economic, religious, or ideologicalgoal. Framework: A logical structure for classifying and organizing complex information.

5. Problem Definition • The Army is constantly seeking to better • understand the social phenomena of insurgency • as it assumes a peacekeeping role in the Iraqi • region and as it combats the elevated death tolls • associated with insurgency. • The problem to be addressed by this research is: • 1. How can insurgency data best be researched, defined and presented to military leaders for decision making? • How can decisions be observed and evaluated to measure the potential impact on lives in a war zone?

6. Sample Insurgency Questions That might be Addressed by This Research How are insurgencies planned for and what is the process? How are insurgencies carried out and what is the process? Are there any consistencies in the locations and surroundings where insurgencies are carried out? Why are more Iraqi women becoming insurgents?

7. Insurgency Research System

8. METHODOLOGY

9. Agent Oriented Development Environment User Interacts With Verifies Knowledge Guides

10. Object-Oriented Development Life Cycle Activity Diagram Implemented using Enterprise Architect Reference: Tsang, Curtis, et al., “Object-Oriented Technology,” McGraw Hill, 2005.

11. Model Driven Architecture (MDA)

12. BDI Agent System Jadex BDI Architecture Goal-Oriented Reasoning Engine Agent BDI Model

13. Multi-Agent Systems Reference: Jennings, Nick, “Agent-Based Computing: Promise and Perils,” Presentation, Dept of Electronics and Computer Science, University of Southampton.

14. 3D Electronic Institution Concept Only systems that have a high degree of interactions need to be structured in order to avoid violations Reference: Bogdanovych, Esteva, et al, “A Methodology for developing MAS as 3D Electronic Institutions, Proceedings from 8th International Workshop on Agent Oriented Software Engineering (AOSE'07).

15. Cognitive Modeling Application JADEX Software/ JADE Platform iGrafix FlowCharter Enterprise Architect Ontology Database Electronic Institution Developmental Cycle Microsoft Access ISLANDER: graphical tool for specification of rules & protocols in eI Problem Domain Database Design Verify AMELI: software platform to run eI Communication Server Test Deployment aBuilder: agent development tool Development SIMDEI: simulation tool to animate & analyze eI Simulate 2nd Life Virtual World Technology Insurgency Questions to be Answered Behavioral Experimentation Visualization Layer Integrated Multi-Agent Development Process

16. Second Life © Runtime Architecture Reference: Bogdanovych, Esteva, et al., “A Methodology for developing MAS as 3D Electronic Institutions, Proceedings from 8th International Workshop on Agent Oriented Software Engineering (AOSE'07).

17. Analysis Microsoft Visio iGrafx FlowCharter Enterprise Architect UML Development JADE Jadex JESS Java EIDE Visualization Second Life Tools Requirements

18. Development of an Insurgency Information Framework Using Multi-Agent Technololgy

19. Conclusion • Application of software engineering technology can support advanced • sociological analysis in combating the Insurgency Crisis: • Developing an IIF enables the Army to extract significant knowledge useful in making more informed decisions • Integrating the IIF model with a Software Engineering Technology Workbench provides a structure that can be updated, verified, and easily integrated with other models • Modeling behavior through the application of Distributed MAS implemented in a 3D virtual world environment allows decision makers to: • Model behavior of objects • Choose/ observe actions of human like entities • Calculate/ measure paths to outcomes • Assess outcomes • Initiate treatment and/ support • Reform policy • The social computing methodology can support decision making in any sociological environment

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