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MINISTRY OF REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT P O L A N D. EU Expansion – three years later The Polish Perspective Jerzy Kwieciński Undersecretary of State Los Angeles, April 18, 2007. Session II. Poland – assets and weaknesses. Human capital and entreprenurship. Investment attractiveness.
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MINISTRY OF REGIONAL DEVELOPMENTP O L A N D EU Expansion – three years laterThe Polish Perspective Jerzy KwiecińskiUndersecretary of State Los Angeles, April 18, 2007 Session II
Poland – assets and weaknesses Human capital and entreprenurship Investment attractiveness According to the A.T. Kearney Agency Poland ranks among of the 5 best world investment locations Almost half of the population is below 35 years old
Poland – assets and weaknesses Environment and natural resources Economic development
Poland – assets and weaknesses Spatial arrangement of the state
Poland – assets and weaknesses Labor market Innovativeness Economy needs both: growth in B&R expednitures and strengthening of cooperation between science and industry Unemployment rate is systematically falling.In February it stood at 14.4%.
Rate of GDP growth in the selectedEU countries in the period 2003-2006 Source: Eurostat. Database – General Economic Background/Real GDP growth rate
Foreign Direct Investments in Poland • Inflow of FDI in 2006 amounted to about 15 billions USD • So far, accumulated FDI in the transformation period (since 1989) reached about 105 billions USD • Results: - modernization of the economy: share of exports of high and medium technology products in the total exports of enterprises increased – in foreign investor enterprises- from about 30% in 1995 to 55% in 2005 (in domestic-capital enterprises 26%)- growth in productivity: productivity in foreign investor enterprises is over two times higher in the foreign capital enterprises than in thedomestic-capital enterprises- growth in exports (in 2006 57.4% of exports were generated by foreign investor enterprises)
Regional Development and Raising of Territorial Cohesion GDPPer capita in Voivodships (at purchasing power parity) 2004 EU-27 = 100 Poland on average 50.7 Source: Eurostat. 2007
LONG - TERM EFFECTS OF EU MEMBERSHIP FOR POLAND Improved positionof Polandon the global scene (political and financial credibility) Accelerationand strengthening of the reform process Influence of the Single European Market on the economy (GDP growth, productivity) Impact of the EU funds Improved national security and higher level and quality of life
IMMEDIATE EFFECTS OF EU MEMBERSHIP FOR POLAND Growth in exports of foodstuffs and agricultural products Reduction of duties on 35% of the volume of imports Changes in the level of prices (in both directions) Improved consumer protection standards Widening of educational opportunities Poland’s eastern border became the EU external frontier Gradual opening of the EU labor market Participation in the EU decision-making process
IMPACT OF THE COHESION POLICY • GROWTH: Instruments of the cohesion policy contribute to increase in public and private investments in the regions that receive assistance • CONVERGENCE: Funds contribute to the GDP growth in backwarded regions • EMPLOYMENT: Creation of new jobs and maximalization of the human resources potential • ACCRETION IN CAPITAL : Human and material • BETTER GOVERNANCE on the regional and local level • FINANCIAL STABILITY in the period of seven years
Poland as the beneficiary of the EU Cohesion Policy For the 2004-2006 financial perspective Poland is receiving within the framework of structural assistance 12. 8 billions Euro (6% of the total EU assistance in that period). In the period 2007-2013 Poland will have at its disposal 67.3 billions Euro for the cohession policy, that is almost 1/5 of the total EU cohesion policy financing. Financing of other fields will exceed 18 billion Euro. Co-financing is estimated at over 22 billion Euro. Altogether, the above-mentioned funds will reach about 108 billion Euro.
Distribution of the UE resources among operational programmes NSRF/NCS 2007-2013 (in Euro) NSRF = 67.3 mld EUR, Including national reserve For implementation (3% of the value of allocation)
Impact of the NSRF on the rate of growth Difference between GDP rates of growth in the NSRF scenario and base scenario (without NSRF) expressed in percentage points
Impact of the NSRF on unemployment rate Difference between unemployment rate in the NSRF - based scenario and base scenario (without NSRF) expressed in percentage points
Impact of the NSRF on the rate of GPD growth in the period 2006-2020
Scenarios of Poland’s attainment of the EU economic development level*)
MINISTRY OF REGIONAL DEVELOPMENTP O L A N D Ministry of Regional Developmentul. Wspólna 2/4www.mrr.gov.plstrategia@mrr.gov.pl