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Does Village Endogamy Affect Fertility Behavior --The Case of Rural China

Does Village Endogamy Affect Fertility Behavior --The Case of Rural China. Xingshan Cao Department of Sociology University of Toronto. Motivation and Question. Does village endogamy affect fertility behavior? How village endogamy affect fertility behavior?

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Does Village Endogamy Affect Fertility Behavior --The Case of Rural China

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  1. Does Village Endogamy Affect Fertility Behavior--The Case of Rural China Xingshan Cao Department of Sociology University of Toronto

  2. Motivation and Question • Does village endogamy affect fertility behavior? • How village endogamy affect fertility behavior? • Why village endogamy affect fertility behavior?

  3. Village Endogamy in rural China • High prevalence (about 20%) • Village endogamy and social pressure • Village endogamy and social capital

  4. Village Endogamy and Fertility

  5. Data: 2001 China Family Planning & Reproductive Health Survey • Large-scale, nationally-representative (over 50,000 women in total) • Retrospective records of reproduction • Focus on women married after 1980 (N=19923)

  6. Dependent variable First pregnancy Second pregnancy Contraceptive onset Independent variables Village endogamy Individual-level socioeconomic characteristics Village-level variables Variables

  7. Statistical Model • Proportional hazard model (Cox 1972, Allison 1995) • Generalized Estimating Equation (GEE) (Zeger & Liang 1986)

  8. Results • No relationship between village endogamy and the timing of first pregnancy • Negative relationship between village endogamy and the timing of second pregnancy • Positive relationship between village endogamy and contraceptive onset

  9. Conclusion and Discussion • Women married with the same village do not have strong tendency of high fertility • Social capital/pressure hypotheses of high fertility are not supported • Refined measurements of social capital/pressure are necessary for future research

  10. Acknowledgement • I want to thank Mr. Wang Qian, Ms. Huang Yanni at the State Population and Family Planning Commission and Mr. Li Bohua at China Population Information and Research Center for providing data and helpful discussions on using data. I also feel indebted to Prof. Weiguo Zhang for his insightful comments.

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