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Texas Population Trends and Projections

Explore Texas' population growth, demographic characteristics, and population projections. Discover top counties for growth, ethnic composition, economic indicators, and unauthorized immigration.

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Texas Population Trends and Projections

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  1. Texas Demographic Trends, Characteristics, and Population Projections • House Republican Caucus • August 28, 2019 @TexasDemography

  2. Texas is experiencing significant growth.

  3. Population Growth of Select States, 2000-2018 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count, 2018 Population Estimates.

  4. Total Estimated Population by County, Texas, 2018 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2018 Population Estimates

  5. Estimated Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010 to 2018 96 counties lost population over the 8 year period. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2018 Population Estimates

  6. Estimated Percent Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to 2018 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2018 Population Estimates

  7. Estimated Population Change from International Migration by County, Texas, 2010-2018 229 counties gained population from international migration.

  8. Estimated Population Change from Domestic Migration by County, Texas, 2010-2018 132 counties lost population from net out domestic migration.

  9. Estimated Population Change from Natural Increase (Decrease) by County, Texas, 2010-2018 80 counties lost population due to natural decrease.

  10. Population and Projections, 2000, 2010, & 2030 Source: Texas Demographic Center 2018 Population Projections

  11. Components of Population Change by Percent in Texas, 1950-2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

  12. Estimates of Percent Components of Population Change, Texas, 2011-2018 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2018 Vintage population estimates

  13. Top Counties for Numeric Growth in Texas, 2017-2018 Harris, Dallas, and Hidalgo Counties had negative net migration. Source: U.S. Census  Bureau, 2018 Population Estimates

  14. Top Counties for Percent Growth* in Texas, 2017-2018 *Among counties with populations of 10,000 or more in 2018. Source: U.S. Census  Bureau, 2018 Population Estimates

  15. Estimated Percent of Total Net-Migrant Flows to and From Texas and Other States, 2017 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, State to State Migration Flows, 2017

  16. Texas continues to diversify.

  17. Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, • 2000, 2010, and 2018 11 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000, 2010 Decennial Census and 2018 Population Estimates

  18. Numeric Change and Percent of Total Population Change by Race/Ethnicity, 2010-2018, Texas Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Decennial Census and 2018 Population Estimates

  19. Total Fertility Rate by Race/Ethnicity, Texas, 1990-2017 Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics, National Vital Statistics Report

  20. Population Pyramid for White Non-Hispanics in Texas, 2017 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Population Estimates

  21. Population Pyramid for Hispanics in Texas, 2017 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Population Estimates

  22. Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2017 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Population Estimates

  23. Annual Shares of Recent Non-Citizen Immigrants to Texas by World Area of Birth, 2005-2015 Estimated number of international migrants to Texas 101,588 77,702 98,194 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS

  24. Texas economic indicators

  25. U.S. and Texas Job Growth, 2015-2019

  26. U.S. and Texas Job Growth by Industry, 2019

  27. Economic Indicators, Texas and U.S., 2017 • Unemployment rate* • Texas = 3.4% • U.S. = 3.7% • Median Household Income • Texas = $59,206 • U.S. = $60,336 • Median Family Income • Texas = $70,136 • U.S. = $73,891 • Poverty rate • Texas = 14.7% • U.S. = 13.4% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates; *Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, 2019 Your Texas Economy

  28. Unauthorized Immigration in Texas Source: Pew Research Center, U.S. Unauthorized Immigrant Total Dips to Lowest Level in a Decade report

  29. Unauthorized Immigrants in Texas Unauthorized immigrants make up 5.7% of the total Texas population and 8.2% of the labor force, with 24% employed in construction. Source: Pew Research Center, U.S. Unauthorized Immigrant Total Dips to Lowest Level in a Decade report; Migration Policy Institute, State Profiles

  30. Population Projections

  31. Projected Population, 2010-2050, Texas Source: Texas Demographic Center, 2014 and 2018 Population Projections

  32. Projected Population by Race and Ethnicity, Texas 2010-2050 Source: Texas Demographic Center 2018 Population Projections

  33. Projected Population Change and Percent of Total Projected Change by Race/Ethnicity, 2010-2030, Texas Source: Texas Demographic Center 2018 Population Projections

  34. Redistricting Dates Apportionment File sent to POTUS on 12/31/2020 Governor receives Redistricting Data Public Law 94-171 File no later than April, 2021 Released to states in groups of 8 states per week

  35. Texas Counts Campaign

  36. Lila Valencia, Ph.D. (512) 936-3542 Lila.Valencia@utsa.edu demographics.texas.gov @TexasDemography

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