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Video 22 (Topic 4.4): Term Structure, Junk Bonds, and Bankruptcy. FIN 614: Financial Management Larry Schrenk, Instructor. Topics. Term Structure of Interest Rates Junk Bonds Bankruptcy. Term Structure of Interest Rates. Term Structure of Interest Rates Yield Curve
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Video 22 (Topic 4.4):Term Structure, Junk Bonds, and Bankruptcy FIN 614: Financial Management Larry Schrenk, Instructor
Topics • Term Structure of Interest Rates • Junk Bonds • Bankruptcy
Term Structure of Interest Rates • Term Structure of Interest Rates • Yield Curve • Long Term vs. Short Term • Treasury Securities (Usually)
Yield Curve NOTE: Annual Returns on Bonds (not HPR) versus Maturities (not Time)
Yield Curve • Yield Curve Shapes: • Upward Normal Yield Curve • Downward ‘Inverted’ Yield Curve • Yield Curve Shape Theories: • Pure Expectations Hypothesis • Premia: Liquidity (LP), Maturity (MRP), Default (DRP)
Pure Expectations Hypothesis • Yield Curve Shape a Function of Future Interest Rates • Expected Inflation • Increase Expected LT > ST • LT Rates Average of ST Rates • Implied Future Rates
Junk Bonds • What are Junk Bonds? • ‘High Yield’ Bonds • Versus ‘Fallen Angels’ • Compare with IPO’s • Michael Milken and Drexel Burnham Lambert • Leveraged Buyouts
Bond Rating Agencies • Agencies • Standard & Poor's • Moody's • Fitch Ratings • Distinction • Investment Grade Bonds • Junk Bonds
Bond Ratings • Standard & Poor's System • Investment Grade • AAA: the best quality companies, reliable and stable • AA: quality companies, a bit higher risk than AAA • A: economic situation can affect finance • BBB: medium class companies, which are satisfactory at the moment • Non-Investment Grade • BB: more prone to changes in the economy • B: financial situation varies noticeably • CCC: currently vulnerable and dependent on favorable economic conditions to meet its commitments • CC: highly vulnerable, very speculative bonds • C: highly vulnerable, perhaps in bankruptcy or in arrears but still continuing to pay out on obligations • CI: past due on interest • R: under regulatory supervision due to its financial situation • SD: has selectively defaulted on some obligations • D: has defaulted on obligations and S&P believes that it will generally default on most or all obligations • NR: not rated
Bankruptcy vs. Financial Distress • Bankruptcy • Cannot Pay Creditors • Formal Legal Proceeding • Transfer of Ownership • Financial Distress
Costs • Direct Costs • Legal and Administrative Costs • Indirect Costs • Impaired Ability to Conduct Business • Agency Costs
Bankruptcy Process • Liquidation • Chapter 7 (Federal Bankruptcy Reform Act of 1978) • Assets Sold, Proceedings Distributed • Absolute Priority Rule (APR) • ‘Strategic’ Bankruptcy • Reorganization • Chapter 11 (Federal Bankruptcy Reform Act of 1978) • Restructuring with provision to repay creditors
Video 22 (Topic 4.4):Term Structure, Junk Bonds, and Bankruptcy FIN 614: Financial Management Larry Schrenk, Instructor