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US Obesity Epidemic. Avg Body Weight. Data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Modeling weight gain. Food Intake. Energy expenditure. Energy storage. ∆Storage = Intake - Expenditure. (Simplified) Body weight model. RC circuit. Leaky bucket (sort of).
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US Obesity Epidemic Avg Body Weight Data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES)
Modeling weight gain Food Intake Energy expenditure Energy storage ∆Storage = Intake - Expenditure
(Simplified) Body weight model RC circuit Leaky bucket (sort of)
Predict Food Supply FAO Food Supply USDA Loss Adjusted Food Availability Food Intake (model) KD Hall, J Guo, M Dore, CC Chow. PLoS ONE (2009)
Food supply more than explains obesity epidemic Simulated Body Weight NHANES Body Weight
http://bwsimulator.niddk.nih.gov iOS app is in the works
Weight Loss Rule of Thumb The New Rule 10 Calories/day will produce a 1 pound loss in three years 3500 kcal per pound Practical Guide to the Identification, Evaluation, and Treatment of Overweight and Obesity in Adults. NHLBI Obesity Education Initiative (2000).
Acknowledgments Heather Bain, Michael Dore, Juen Guo, Gary Sacks, Boyd Swinburn, Vipul Periwal, Kevin Hall References and slides at sciencehouse.wordpress.com