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Essential Characteristics of Common Stock. Common stock are shares in a firm’s ownership Stockholder is a residual claimant Limited liability Measuring Stock Market Performance The Dow Jones Industrial Average The Standard & Poor's 500 Index Nasdaq Composite index Wilshire 5000.
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Essential Characteristics of Common Stock • Common stock are shares in a firm’s ownership • Stockholder is a residual claimant • Limited liability Measuring Stock Market Performance • The Dow Jones Industrial Average • The Standard & Poor's 500 Index • Nasdaq Composite index • Wilshire 5000
Fundamental Value: The Dividend-Discount Model
Valuing Stocks Assume the firm pays dividends forever
But you won’t hold stock forever … Return after holding stock one year: • Since the ultimate future sale price is unknown the stock is risky • the investor will require compensation in the form of a risk premium • Required Stock Return (i) = Risk-free Return (rf) + Risk Premium (rp)
Dividend Discount Model With Risk • Stock Prices are High When • Current dividends are high (Dtoday is high) • Dividends are expected to grow quickly (g is high) • The risk-free rate is low (rf is low) • The risk premium on equity is low (rp is low)
The Theory of Efficient Markets • Prices of all financial instruments, including stocks, reflect all available information • Future price movements are unpredictable. • If you could reliably predict a stock’s price will rise in the future, you would try to buy so much of it now that its price would rise now … and there would be no above-normal gain in the future
The Stock Market’s Role in the Economy • Stock prices tell us the market value of companies, which determines the allocation of resources. • Firms with a high stock market value are the ones investors prize, so they have an easier time garnering the resources they need to grow. • In contrast, firms whose stock value is low have difficulty financing their operations
The Stock Market and the Economy • Bubbles: persistent and expanding gaps between actual stock prices and those warranted by the fundamentals. • Bubbles inevitably burst, creating crashes.