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EuroDelta A project to evaluate uncertainty in modelling source-receptor relationships used in air quality policy Organised by: JRC-IES, IIASA, EMEP, TNO-MEP, CONCAWE, INERIS, SMHI, FUB Objectives : Do regional air quality models produce a consistent response to emission changes ?
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EuroDelta • A project to evaluate uncertainty in modelling source-receptor relationships used in air quality policy • Organised by: • JRC-IES, IIASA, EMEP, TNO-MEP, CONCAWE, INERIS, SMHI, FUB • Objectives: • Do regional air quality models produce a consistent response to emission changes ? • What is the range of modelled responses to emission changes ? • What are the confidence limits for policy modelling ?
CityDelta • A project to include sub-grid scale effects into a Europe-wide health impact assessment for PM and O3 • Organised by: • JRC-IES, IIASA, EMEP, TNO-MEP, CONCAWE • Objectives : Identify systematic differences (deltas)betweenrural and urban background AQ (scale) • How these delta vary in terms of urban emissions? • How these delta vary accross cities? • How these delta vary accross models? • How these delta vary accross pollutants ? • Focus: long term PM and O3 in 8 European cities
EURODELTA CHIMERE REM EMEP MATCH LOTOS TM5 CITYDELTA Participating Models Only Local Local + Regional Only Regional
EURODELTA European Wide reductions (from 2000 to 2020 with 2 sets of meteorology) Beyond 2020 specific NOx, Sox, NH3 and VOC reductions for Italy, Germany, France and Sea-areas In total 28 emission scenarios CITYDELTA 8 emission scenarios for each city 1999 Base Case 2010 Current Legislation NOx, VOC, PM25, PMc Maximum Feasible reductions Emission Scenarios
The Euro- & City-delta tool Original Participant data Pre-processing Processed data and graphical tool available on Web
MONIT Visualisation of available monitoring data
EMIS Sector-pollutant-country overviews
VALID Comparison OBS-MOD for different indicators
PLANE 2D pre-chosen indicators: Model to Model
Countries Eurodelta: Mean Ozone variability Max ensemble min
Conclusions • Although missing of validation data, the City and EuroDelta projects have lead to model improvements as well as to a better quality of the input data (e.g. emissions) • The graphical tools are evolutive. They have been developed and improved with additional features through the course of these projects and may be adapted to other scales.