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Introduction to Psychology Suzy Scherf Lecture 10: How Do We Know? Higher-Order Cognition. Cognitive Modules. “Cognitive modules are designed not for cool rationality, but for hot cognition, to respond to crucial events related to survival and reproduction.”
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Introduction to Psychology Suzy Scherf Lecture 10: How Do We Know? Higher-Order Cognition
Cognitive Modules “Cognitive modules are designed not for cool rationality, but for hot cognition, to respond to crucial events related to survival and reproduction.” - Douglas Kendrick (Kendrick et al., 1998)
Cognitive Modules • Memory • Language • Categorization • Recognition • Object knowledge • Thinking about Minds • Learning • Reading • Problem Solving • Cognitive Heuristics • Mathematics
Categorization • Prevents us from having to - • Process of -
Categorization Three dimensions: 1. 2. 3. Members =
No No Yes No No No No Yes No Yes Categorization
Categorization • _________ categories vs. ___________ categories • ___________ categories exist in real-world and have an internal structure organized around ___________ • Natural categories - • Non-natural categories -
Categorization • Natural categories - • Easier to identify and remember central members than non-central members - • Typical members of a category - • Atypical members -
Why do We Categorize this Way? • Typicality - • Typicality-based categories -
Rips (1975) study: • You are on an island with robins, sparrows, hawks, eagles, ducks, geese, ostriches, and bats - some of which are infected with a highly contagious disease Why do We Categorize this Way? • Allows us to - • What is likelihood that other critters will become infected if it is the sparrows who have the disease?
Why do We Categorize this Way? • Allows us to use our experiences to anticipate properties of living things and make predictions • Rips (1975) study: • Predictions showed a strong influence of typicality
Thinking about Minds • Minds and beliefs are - • Beliefs can be totally false - • Beliefs not concrete - • Reasoning about minds -
Thinking about Minds • False belief task -
Thinking about Minds • False belief task -
Thinking about Minds • Deception Tasks -
Thinking about Minds • Cues to what’s in a mind - intentions: • Useful to -
Thinking about Minds • Some evidence that _____________ and ___________individuals’ theory of mind skills deficient • Also, people with ______________ and __________ lesions can have changes in their theory of mind skills
Are we Designed to Think Logically? You have been hired as a bouncer at a bar and you must enforce the following rule: “If a person is drinking beer, then s/he must be over 21.” Coke Beer 25 yrs. 16 yrs. Which of the card(s) do you have to turn over to make sure that no one is breaking the law?
D F 3 7 Are we Designed to Think Logically? You have been hired as a clerk. Your job is to make sure that a set of documents is marked correctly, according the the following rule: “If the document has a D rating, then it must be marked code 3.” Which of the card(s) do you have to turn over to check for errors?
Cognitive Heuristics for Solving Problems • Which problem was easier? • The problems are - • The first problem involves -
Cognitive Heuristics for Solving Problems • Our evolved tendencies toward - • The kinds of reasoning errors - • Heuristics are -
The Availability Heuristic • A heuristic that - • It leads us to -
The Representativeness Heuristic • A heuristic that - • It leads us to -
Cognitive Heuristics Solve What Kind of Problems? • Problems that our ancestors in the EEA likely encountered. • Are we stupid since we cannot solve probability problems well?
Cognitive Heuristics Solve What Kind of Problems? • Did our ancestors succeed by solving probability problems? • Probability -
Probability Problem The probability of breast cancer is 1% for a woman of age 40 who has a routine mammogram exam. If such a woman has breast cancer, the probability is 80% that her mamm exam will be positive. If a woman does not have breast cancer, the probability is 9.6% that her mamm exam will be positive. A 40-yr-old woman has just received a positive mamm exam. What is the probability that she actually has breast cancer?
Frequency Problem As a physician, you examine many women for breast cancer. Most of them do not have it. Of the women who you’ve treated with breast cancer, 8 of them had a positive mammogram. Of those women who did not have breast cancer, 95 had positive mammograms. You just got back a positive mammogram result for a new client. What are the chances that she has breast cancer?
Why are we better intuitive statisticians on frequency problems as opposed to probability problems?
The Gambler’s Fallacy: Another Clue About our Designed Cognitive Heuristics
The Gambler’s Fallacy: When Does it Work? ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 24 Hour Summary Time EST (UTC) Temperature F (C) Dew Point F (C) Pressure Inches (hPa) Wind MPH Weather Latest 4 PM (21) Oct 17 59 (15) 57 (14) 30.07 (1018) NNE 5 light rain; mist 3 PM (20) Oct 17 57.9 (14.4) 57.0 (13.9) 30.08 (1018) Calm light rain; mist 2 PM (19) Oct 17 57.9 (14.4) 57.0 (13.9) 30.09 (1018) Variable 3 light rain; mist 1 PM (18) Oct 17 57 (14) 57 (14) 30.1 (1019) Calm light rain; mist Noon (17) Oct 17 57 (14) 55 (13) 30.12 (1019) NE 3 light rain; mist 11 AM (16) Oct 17 57 (14) 55 (13) 30.13 (1020) NE 3 mist 10 AM (15) Oct 17 55 (13) 55 (13) 30.14 (1020) ESE 5 light rain; mist 9 AM (14) Oct 17 55.0 (12.8) 53.1 (11.7) 30.14 (1020) ENE 3 light rain; mist 8 AM (13) Oct 17 55.0 (12.8) 53.1 (11.7) 30.14 (1020) Calm light rain; mist 7 AM (12) Oct 17 55 (13) 51 (11) 30.14 (1020) Calm light rain; mist 6 AM (11) Oct 17 54.0 (12.2) 51.1 (10.6) 30.12 (1019) NE 3 mist 5 AM (10) Oct 17 53.1 (11.7) 51.1 (10.6) 30.12 (1019) NE 4 mist 4 AM (9) Oct 17 54.0 (12.2) 52.0 (11.1) 30.11 (1019) N 6 mist 3 AM (8) Oct 17 53.1 (11.7) 51.1 (10.6) 30.1 (1019) Calm 2 AM (7) Oct 17 53.1 (11.7) 52.0 (11.1) 30.12 (1019) E 3 1 AM (6) Oct 17 55.0 (12.8) 52.0 (11.1) 30.13 (1020) NNW 5 Midnight (5) Oct 17 54.0 (12.2) 51.1 (10.6) 30.14 (1020) NNW 3 11 PM (4) Oct 16 55.9 (13.3) 52.0 (11.1) 30.14 (1020) Calm 10 PM (3) Oct 16 55.0 (12.8) 52.0 (11.1) 30.15 (1020) Calm 9 PM (2) Oct 16 57.9 (14.4) 53.1 (11.7) 30.14 (1020) Calm 8 PM (1) Oct 16 57.9 (14.4) 53.1 (11.7) 30.14 (1020) Calm 7 PM (0) Oct 16 59.0 (15.0) 53.1 (11.7) 30.14 (1020) Calm 6 PM (23) Oct 16 61.0 (16.1) 54.0 (12.2) 30.13 (1020) Calm