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RuralStruc Program Structural dimensions of liberalization in agricultural and rural development

RuralStruc Program Structural dimensions of liberalization in agricultural and rural development. M’Bour Workshop 11-13 April 2006 April 13 World Bank (ESSD). Reminder. Originality Thematic Operative Opportunity Collective challenge To offer a new perspective, to raise new questions

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RuralStruc Program Structural dimensions of liberalization in agricultural and rural development

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  1. RuralStruc ProgramStructural dimensions of liberalization in agricultural and rural development M’Bour Workshop 11-13 April 2006 April 13 World Bank (ESSD)

  2. Reminder • Originality • Thematic • Operative • Opportunity • Collective challenge • To offer a new perspective, to raise new questions • To provide a quality work • To overcome the methodological difficulties and the problems of information

  3. Expectations from Phase 1 • To provide a comprehensive synthesis of the structural change processes • Existing situation • Trajectories / tendencies • To test the hypotheses • To identify key issues, strategic topics in which to invest in during the 2nd phase in order to improve / consolidate the analysis

  4. Stakes • “To pass the review” by the peers and satisfy to the expectations of the donors of the program (October 2006) • Steering committee • Advisory committee • Two intermediate opportunities • WDR: World Development Report 2008 (June 2006-07) • GDN: Global Development Network (Conference January 2008) • Final audience: • Type of publication • International seminar • To contribute to the debate on policies • International debate • National debates

  5. Organization • Deadline / Countdown • October 2006 => October 2007 • A feedback process • An internet website with statistics, reference texts, intermediate documents • To identify phases • To inform of the problems to obtain support

  6. What do we need? • “We” know many things • Abundance of available information • But there are problems regarding: • Quality • Coherence • Absence • We need: • To organize • To prepare “bricks” / indicators that will enable us to build arguments • To harmonize the arguments by resorting to the same type of data • Five (5) large sets:

  7. 1. The base • Political regimes • Demographic evolution • Macro-economic evolution

  8. 2. International insertion • Structure of exchanges • The “Agreements” • Bilateral • Regional • Multilateral

  9. 3. Public policies • Genesis/ Periodization • content • implementation • Role of the State and public goods • Decentralization

  10. 4. Production structures • Agricultural production • By main regions • Agro-food production • What economic agents, types of firms • Food balance

  11. 5. Market structures • Commodity markets • By commodity chains • Factors markets • Credit / land / employment / inputs / services

  12. What framework? • The positioning: a political economy of agriculture and rural sectors and their place in the national context (roles, status) • A study of the condition of the transitions, the trajectories, the “risks and the dangers” • What structure for the analysis? • A proposition in 4 steps:

  13. 1. Evolution of the global context • A periodization by: • Political changes • Policy changes • History of the liberalization / relations with the donors • Evolution of the international insertion (trade balance) • Allowing an identification / explanation of the “founding moments” – the critical junctures

  14. 2. Market structures • Organization of markets • Evolution of relative prices (prices / costs) • What is the stage in the integration process? • By commodity chains (vertical integration) • By the distribution networks: the “supermarket revolution” • The development of contract farming • The processes of concentration • What is the situation of factors markets: complete / incomplete?

  15. 3. The process of “segmentation” • What is the impact of agro-food market restructuring on the production and agrarian structures? • What is the technical and economic differentiation among the farms? • What are the already existing categories of farms? In the future?

  16. 4. What locking and what reshaping? • What are the populations / social groups and the vulnerable areas / regions? • “Vulnerable people and places”? • Evolution of rural poverty • Degradation of natural resources • What are the exit options? • Migrations to cities, abroad? • To what sectors of activities? • What consequences for rural households? • multi-activity, multi-locality …

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