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Residence Times in Texas Bays: 1975 - 2000. Laura Chu UT Marine Science Institute CE 394K – Surface Water April 26, 2005. Background. Residence time Why Study Inflows? Climate change Water Balance in Texas Constant vs. “flashy” system. Residence Time.
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Residence Times in Texas Bays: 1975 - 2000 Laura Chu UT Marine Science Institute CE 394K – Surface Water April 26, 2005
Background • Residence time • Why Study Inflows? • Climate change • Water Balance in Texas • Constant vs. “flashy” system
Residence Time • Estimate of the rate at which a volume of water moves through a bay. • Several methods to compute • Tidal-Prism method • Freshwater Fraction method
Tidal Prism Method • Method based on changes in estuarine volume due to tides INSUFFICENT DATA • Officer (1976)
Fresh-Water Fraction Method • Uses the salinity to calculate the residence time. • Assumptions • Hydrography • Constant bay volume
Hypothesis • Ho1: Variation in freshwater inflows does not change the turnover time for Texas Bays • Ho2: El Niño has no effect in changing the rate of turnover in Texas Bays
Inflows Monthly for 6 bays & estuaries TXWDB: 1941-2000 Salinity Monthly on a grid TXPWD: 1975 – present Volume of water CRWR – G. Ward El Niño SOI index Estuaries & Bays Sabine Trinity / Galveston Guadalupe / San Antonio Lavaca / Matagorda Mission - Aransas Nueces/Corpus Christi Data
Methodology Salinity Water Balance Bay Volumes Residence Time Equations SOI Index Analyze data Hydrography GIS mapping
Some Conclusions • Seasonal freshwater inflows drive changes in residence times in Texas • Hypersaline conditions • No overall long-term trend • No significant El Niño effects
Future Work & Questions • Relating inflow modeling to species abundance and ecosystem health • Effects of hydrography • Visualizing data in GIS • Implications for controlled flow regimes