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Natural Hazards Thematic Network Goals:. Reduce impact of extreme natural events in the circum -polar North through sharing of experiences and methodologies, identification of best practices, and collaborative research.
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Natural Hazards Thematic Network Goals: Reduce impact of extreme natural events in the circum-polar North through sharing of experiences and methodologies, identification of best practices, and collaborative research. Support an international cohort of graduate students who will learn the unique challenges of disaster risk mitigation in the Arctic and become tomorrow’s leaders in public safety and sustainable communities. John Eichelberger jceichelberger@alaska.edu
Natural Hazards:A threat to sustainability in the Arctic Extreme events • Floods • Fires • Volcanic eruptions • Earthquakes • Tsunamis • Space weather (magnetic storms) • Research disciplines • Physical sciences • Remote sensing (ground, air/UAS, satellite) • Engineering • Economics • Social and political sciences
Mitigating risk: Preventing natural events from becoming natural disasters • Learn lessons from past disasters (globally) • Monitor to provide early warning • Educate population at risk • Reduce vulnerabilities • Plan for response, including international assistance Hyogo Framework for Action - UN International Strategy for Disaster Reduction
Special issues of disaster risk reduction in the Arctic • Monitoring in a harsh environment • Vulnerabilities from remoteness: long lifelines; many single points of failure • Loss of power in cold conditions (no heat and water) • Help may have to come from a long way away or a neighboring Arctic country • Flooding of ice-dammed rivers • Solar mass ejections funneled down magnetic lines converging towards the magnetic pole can knock out electrical systems
BUT NATURAL HAZARDS CREATE OPPORTUNITIES FOR EDUCATION International Volcanological Field School Tolbachik Volcano, Kamchatka Katmai Volcano, Alaska Kamchatka State University and UAF since 2002 undergraduate and graduate course
NATURAL HAZARDS ALSO PROVIDE OPPORTUNITIES FOR NON-POLITICAL, HUMANITARIAN COOPERATION Moscow Kamchatka Alaska Washington Moscow 2012: Bilateral symposium on Geo-Hazards: EMERCOM, MES, Roshydromet, FEMA, USGS, NOAA, UAF
EXAMPLES OF EXTREME EVENTS IN THE ARCTIC • LakiEruption, Iceland, 1783; 50% of animals and 10% of people died; no summer in Europe • Katmai eruption, Alaska, 1912 (largest globally in two centuries); indigenous villages destroyed; heavy damage to Kodiak • Magnitude 9 earthquakes and resulting tsunamis in Kamchatka (1952) and Alaska (1964); killed thousand and destroyed many communities. Half of the 30 strongest earthquakes ever recorded occurred in the Russian Fare East and Alaska. • Recurrent flooding of Yakutsk by ice-dammed Lena (e.g., 2010) and many smaller communities (e.g., 2013, Yukon River, Galena, AK) around the Artic. • Huge wildfires in Alaska (e.g., 2004) and Russia (e.g., 2010) • EyjafjallajokulVolcano ash eruption, Iceland, 2010, crippled aviation over all of Europe, costing $5 billion Euros.
Some extreme events in Alaska and Russia M9.2 Anchorage 1964 Interior fires 2004 Fairbanks flood 1967 Redoubt 2009 Kodiak tsunami (M9.2) 1964 Yakutsk flood 2010 Severo-Kurilsk tsunami (M9.0) 1952 Tolbachik 2013 Siberian fires 2010 M7.7 Koryakia 2006
Leadership • John Eichelberger, PhD, Dean of the Graduate School, UAF and Dean of Graduate Studies, UArctic (Team: Geo-hazards, disaster scenarios, UAS and satellite remote sensing) • TuyaraGavrilyeva, ScD, Professor of Economics and Advisor to the Rector, NEFU (Team: Economics, floods, engineering) • Alexander Filkov, PhD, Associate Professor, Tomsk State University (Team: wildfires) • Oleg Melnik, PhD, Professor of Hydrodynamics, Moscow State University (Team: Volcanology) • FreysteinnSigmundsson, PhD, Senior Scientist, Nordic Volcanological Centre, University of Iceland and PI of EU’s FutureVolcProject (Team: Geohazards, UAS R&D) • Ian Shennan, PhD, University of Durham (Team: Geohazards; social science of disasters and disaster risk reduction) • AlikIsmail-Zadeh, ScD, Chief Scientist, Russian Academy of Sciences and Secretary General, IUGG; Vladimir Kossobokov, ScD, Chief Scientist, Russian Academy of Sciences(Team: Tectonics; earthquake hazard assessment; international programs in natural disaster reduction) • EvgenyGordeev, PhD and RAS Academician, Director Institute of Volcanology and Seismology; Geology and Geophysics Faculty, Kamchatka State University (Team: Geo-hazards)
Next Future events • Bilateral + UArctic field workshop in Alaska with EMERCOM, USGS, FEMA, RosHydromet, RAS, NOAA, and universities………..summer 2014 • Proposal to NSF for earthquake investigation with Kamchatka/Alaska comparison, engaging a cohort of graduate students………..in review • UArctic online course in natural hazards, to be developed by graduate students with guidance from senior specialists in each hazard……………proposed for 2014 • Develop integrated UArctic degree paths – goal of an extended visit to another TN member university for courses and/or research for every natural hazards graduate student • Link and promote natural hazards field schools • A first TN meeting as soon as possible