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The 6 th Meeting of the INTOSAI Working Group. The role of KNIs in formation of the integrated management system of social and economic progress Dr. Alexander A. Piskunov, Accounts Chamber of the Russian Federation. Krakow , April 22-24 , 2013. Socio-economic development area.
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The 6th Meeting of the INTOSAI Working Group The role of KNIs in formation of the integrated management system of social and economic progress Dr. Alexander A. Piskunov, Accounts Chamber of the Russian Federation Krakow, April 22-24, 2013
Socio-economic development area Target state of Authorities The system of SED management USA T Competence of Government Government Management architecture effectiveness Target state of the Country A Management techniques competitiveness Tech The processes (objects) of Management Business Target state of Business Government Architecture Targeting Target state of Society G Business The dimension of the RF Development Business G B Society B Society S Technologies S Long-term planning Medium-term planning Short-term planning T The processes (objects) of Audit Financial audit A Tech Performance audit The system of SED audit China Strategic audit
The coordination of the global development by supranational structures UN IMF OECD INTOSAI World Bank Finance Economy Social Sphere Environment WTO
Global risks 2013, WEF WEF, “Global Risks Report 2013”
A comparison of the level of income and level of happiness «Very happy» or «happy enough», % 100 Ireland Switzerland Netherlands Canada Sweden Finland USA 90 Denmarkя Mexico New Zeeland Columbia Indonesia Сингапур Austria Norway Salvador Great Britain Australia Chili Nigeria Czech Republic Portugal France Belgium Vietnam Venezuela Germany 80 Uruguay Slovenia Spain Brazil Argentine Italy Greece Japan Philippines Croatia Hungary Israel China Republic of Dominicans South Korea SA 70 Egypt Algeria Poland Morocco Uganda Peru Slovakia Iran India Estonia Jordan Lithuania Bangladesh Turkey Azerbaijan 60 Tanzania Macedonia Pakistan Latvia Belarus Albany Georgia 50 Bulgaria Romania Zimbabwe Russia NDP Russia 40 Moldova Ukraine Per capita income U.S. $ thousands per yeat 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Leyrad, R. Happiness: Lessons from a New Science. M.:. Gaidar Institute, 2012.- p.146
The problem of the sustainable growth of national wealth insurance Competitiveness Viability Quality of life Quality of control Social cohesion Safety Russia 2020 Development potentials imbalance Development potentials harmonization The target vector of development Quality of life satisfaction Discrepancy of vectors of development The actual gradient of the development vector Russia 2012 GRP Health care spending 2013 2020
Indicators, factors and spheres of social development spending per pupil time for rest expenditure (% GDP) level of crime Work/life balance relevance of the knowledge Costs Security quality of knowledge qualityof services Indicators Quality Social services Regulating factors average pension % of population with different levels of education Education Social security Payments,facilities Coverage Social spheres voter turnout Democracy, governance Social development Social development expenditure (% GDP) Социальные сферы Costs poverty Labor market Health expenditure Per Capita Distribution of income Gini index income of households Coverage level of vaccination Employment Quality availability of first aid unemployment life expectancy the economically active population death rate healthy environment
Problems in selecting of development scenarios Targeting Architecture SEI Modernization The selection of the development vector SEI Growth SEI – Social and economic indicators SEI Stabilization SEI SEI Degradation Time Technologies
The problem of balancing the interests of government, business and society Channels of influence Sphere of Government interests Centers of force World resources Products and Services External market Products and Services Domestic market Power Architecture Development pathway Power Resources G Products and Services The balance of KNIs External market Business Domestic market Products and Services Technologies of development Architecture Business B S Sphere of Social interests Resources Resources Society Architecture Society Domestic market TNK Products and Services External market Products and Services Sphere of Business interests
The problem of synchronization of SED processes % GDP in previous year China USA Эффект World EU Russia WORLD B Consumer confidence index B Business KNI Demographic cycles 6 years 100 years ISM SED Society S S 1 ms Political cycles G ISMSED ISMSED – Institute for Systems Management of Social-economic development Government G
How is life, Russia? Индекс качества жизни Индекс конкурентоспособности
Management of targeted effects of development «Where are you going, Russia?» The concept of long-term development 2020 Vector of the Authorities’ Public obligations Discrepancy of the development vectors φ θ ω The actual gradient of the development vector Vector of the public expectations Competitiveness Russia 2013 Safety Quality of life
The problem of the balance of the key development potentials Sphere of progress Competitiveness Sovereignty Safety Viability Identity Quality of life Balance of Cpb Disorientation Inequality Depopulation Threats and Risks Dependence Degradation Sphere of regress
Reference model of management and audit of socio-economic development Liabilities of Business Liabilities of Authority Liabilities of non-governmental organizations Reports of governors Strategic planning Doctrines Concepts Standards of social responsibility Synchronization of goals, architecture and technology transformation Programming Reports on corporate social responsibility Programs Projects Reports on the results and main areas of activity of the Government Budgeting and management of realization Budgets Plans Results of public hearings Public-private partnership Coordination of goals, resources and measures of the Authority, Society and Business
The problem of imbalances in costs and benefits of the progress GDP Income level GDP growth Level of happiness Time tj tm tk Increase in costs Costs
Visualization and comparison of the positions of countries and of the development targets
Comparison of the strategic levels of SED ∆ CPB ? ∆ KNI СЭР ? Goals Resources ∆ KPI ? Activities NWF ∆ $ Time
Decomposition of levels of SED management Objects Subjects Tools Objects Tools СЭЭ Government H3 H4 Strategy development {С,И, О} Business ∆ CPB Subjects Society H1 H2 Assets Sanctions International law Contracts Operations State law Private law Projects Transactions ТНА ГА ЧА X1 R12 X2 Architecture Subjects Targets Targeting Architecture Technology Technology Long-term (strategic) {T, Arch, Т} Programming Medium-term (operational) ∆ KNI Objects Architecture Targets Short-term (tactical) Technologies Tools Strateging МИ H2 H3 Contracting X2 R23 X3 ЭПП Budgeting Assets ГИ ОИ Targets Assets Architecture Projects Contracts Technologies Projects Contracts Assets Contracts Trance national {P, C, As} Regional Contracting ∆ KPI Industrial Projects Targets effects Life cycles Products and services ЧК ФА МА НМА X3 R34 X4 Sanctions Operations Transactions Operations ∆ KCI Transactions Directions {S, Op, Tr} Budgeting Standards Agreements Sanctions Bans БЭО Trance national State Private ОПР СТР ТКТ
Equilibrium of capabilities as a condition of harmonized development Safety Sovereignty Identity Cpb Competitiveness Quality of life Harmonious development index Viability National wealth
The problem of the balance of the key development potentials Sphere of progress Competitiveness Sovereignty Safety Viability Identity Quality of life Balance of Cpb Disorientation Inequality Depopulation Threats and Risks Dependence Degradation Sphere of regress
The new Federal Law on the Accounts Chamber was adopted in Russia in April 2013 • Article 14 «…7. Strategic Audit is used to assess the feasibility, risks and consequences of the results of the strategic goals in the field of security and socio-economic development of the Russian Federation realization. Assessment should cover final (target) and achieved (current) values of key national indicators, which reflect the degree and quality of the implementation of socio-economic effects and cumulative effects of the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation…»