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Modeling of HIV epidemic among men who have sex with men in Beijing, China

Modeling of HIV epidemic among men who have sex with men in Beijing, China. Han-Zhu Qian 1 on behalf of Jie Lou 2 , Yuhua Ruan 3 , Glenn F. Webb 1 , Bryan Shepherd 1 , Yiming Shao 3, Sten Vermund 1 1 Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN 2 Shanghai University, China

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Modeling of HIV epidemic among men who have sex with men in Beijing, China

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  1. Modeling of HIV epidemic among men who have sex with men in Beijing, China Han-Zhu Qian1 on behalf of Jie Lou2, Yuhua Ruan3, Glenn F. Webb1, Bryan Shepherd1, YimingShao3,Sten Vermund1 1 Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN 2 Shanghai University, China 3 National Center for AIDS/STD Control and Prevention, China CDC (Contact: han-zhu.qian@vanderbilt.edu)

  2. Diagram of the model

  3. Five scenarios of HIV testing, linkage, ART, and condom use in MSM in Beijing (year 2010 as baseline) • Scenario 1: situation A + situation B + situation E (maintaining current coverage of interventions) • Scenario 2: situation B + situation C + situation E (increased ART coverage only) • Scenario 3: situation B + situation C + situation F (increased HIV testing, linkage and ART, but no increased condom use) • Scenario 4: situation A + situation D + situation E (increased condom use only) • Scenario 5: situation B + situation D + situation F (increased HIV testing, linkage, and ART, plus increased condom use)

  4. Predicted HIV prevalence rate among MSM in Beijing, China through 2020

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