1 / 46

Rock & Roll versus The Oil Patch What can the decline of great music teach us about

Rock & Roll versus The Oil Patch What can the decline of great music teach us about the future of energy?. What is oil? A little history. How much do we use? How much is there? Crystal ball. Petroleum Origin.

margie
Download Presentation

Rock & Roll versus The Oil Patch What can the decline of great music teach us about

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Rock & Roll versus The Oil Patch What can the decline of great music teach us about the future of energy?

  2. What is oil? • A little history. • How much do we use? • How much is there? • Crystal ball

  3. Petroleum Origin • Tiny critters and algae(zooplankton and plankton) in oceans die, settle to seafloor and get eaten up. • If everything is JUST RIGHT this stuff gets • preservedandconverted to oil and trapped: • GOM and Niger Delta 5-35 million years ago • Seas that covered North America 150 million yrs ago • Alaska’s north slope 250 million years ago

  4. Petroleum Origin Seal rock Reservoir rock Source Rock Preserved plankton “cooked” just right

  5. Petroleum Origin Oil and gas “migrate” up. Most spills out at surface. A small % gets “trapped”. Oil seep Oil and gas “migrate” up slowly through porous rock

  6. Oil History • Birth of the US oil industry • 1859 • “Drake’s Folly” • Titusville, Pennsylvania • 70 foot well • 20 bbls/day • Created an • overnight oil boom

  7. Oil History The “Lucas Gusher” at Spindletop – Nine days and 800,000 bbls later, it was under control. Jan 10, 1901 – “Big Oil” One well 100,000 bbls/day - Tripled US production

  8. Oil History By 1903, more than 400 wells had been drilled on the dome. …optimum rig spacing ???.

  9. Oil History US - early production bbls per year: 1859: 2 thousand 1869: 4 million 1879: 20 million 1889: 35 million 1899: 50 million 1906: 130 million Civil War Rockefeller/Std Oil OH Internal Combustion Engine Spindletop

  10. Oil History Today Our thirst for conventional oil: US consumption 20,000,000 bbl/day Global consumption 86,000,000 bbl/day Global (all energy) 226,000,000 BOEPD Annual global oil consumption >30,000,000,000 bbl/year That’s 42,000 gallons per second An issue of SCALE

  11. How do we produce our energy? World Energy Supply 87% fossil fuels 39% US Energy Consumption EIA, 2009 23% 23% 8% >3% 3%

  12. How do we produce energy? Solar/PVE 1% Geothermal 8% US Renewable Energy Waste Wind Hydro 35% Biofuels 8% Nuclear 9% Wood Derived Coal 21% Data- EIA, 2009 Petroleum 37% Natural Gas 25% Total Consumption

  13. Energy Resources Uranium Hydro Conventional Oil Coal Biomass Natural Gas What do we use it for? Transportation Electricity Heat Data from EIA 2007 S. Tinker, Univ. Texas Austin Bur. Econ. Geol., AAPG, April 2008

  14. Th, Fri: Campus Sustainability • Assignment: • 3 multiple choice questions • With correct answer indicated, • With 1-2 sentence discussion/explanation of correct answer

  15. In the news

  16. Presentation ScheduleNov 30th-Dec 3rd • 7 minutes per total: 5 min talk + 2 min questions • Practice! Practice! Practice!

  17. Paper Due- Nov 30th

  18. Hydrocarbon Resources CONVENTIONAL OIL “Geological Endowment” 3 Trillion Barrels*(*but we can’t get this all out) We’ve used 1.1 Trillion barrels Remaining reserves 1.3 Trillion barrels ~35 year supply (at current consumption rates)

  19. Into the future… …problem - 25 Years from now: Globally by 2035 Energy consumption up 49% CO2emissions up 43% Oil priceup 100% ($133/bbl) According to US Energy Information Agency (EIA) May 25, 2010

  20. Supply and Demand “PEAK OIL” What will fill this gap? Production Decline … when ½ of recoverable oil has been produced and demand outstrips supply Hubbert’s Peak M. King Hubbert 1956

  21. Rolling Stone Magazine Top 500 Songs of All Time

  22. Supply and Demand

  23. Rock & Roll versus Oil “Peak Rock” Have we exhausted all of the good music? What fills the Gap? Demand for good music Music Quality

  24. Alternative Music Rap Hip Hop Acid Jazz Punk Gothic Rock Rave Post punk Straightedge Grunge Brit Pop Jam Shoegazing Electronica Indie

  25. What will fill the gap? According to the EIA (2010) Biofuels will account for most growth in liquid fuel consumption in the United States over the next 25 years. BUT – Fossil fuel consumption will continue at near-current levels. What about projected HC production declines?

  26. Energy Resources • “Unconventional Hydrocarbons” • There is a LOT of it! • Natural gas • Deep Gas (+15,000’) – now conventional • Tight Gas - adds 17% to US gas resource • Shale Gas – adds 25% • Coalbed Methane – adds 8% • Methane Hydrate– 2 to 20 times global NG supply • Unconventional (heavy) oil • Shale Oil – 3 Trillion Barrels • Tar Sands – 3.5 Trillion Barrels The world has more hydrocarbons than we are likely to ever use.

  27. Energy Resources OIL INDUSTRY CONVERSIONS

  28. Energy Resources COAL World reserves about 1000 BMT (billion metric tons) Relatively evenly distributed throughout the world U.S. reserves: 25% of the world reserves Annual global consumption 5 BMT (meaning the world has 200 years @ current production) China, U.S., and Russia account for 50% of total CO2 released

  29. Energy Resources EIA Annual Energy Outlook, 2010

  30. Things to Ponder… • The age of oil will not end • for lack of hydrocarbon resources. • Technology will take us in new directions. • Need radical shift away from: • internal combustion engine • pulverized coal-fired power plants • But, must be done as technology allows. • Rushing will cost dearly. • Invest heavily – BUT CAREFULLY – in renewable energy alternatives. The challenge: SCALE of consumption and of technology.

  31. In the news

  32. Presentation Schedule- everyone sign up! Bring your talk on a jump drive BEFORE class time, so I can load it up Every day of the talks: each student (that is not presenting) will prepare 1 multiple choice question

  33. Graduate School Opportunity Idaho State University- Looking for Masters student Alamo Bolide Impact (Nevada), and impact on Devonian life Contact me

  34. Undergraduate Research Opportunities Science Honors Research Program Paid summer research www.cwu.edu/~cots/scihonors See any Geology Faculty

  35. Presentation Tips- preparation: • Don’t wait to the last minute to prepare your talk • When you prepare your talk, focus on what you want people to be thinking about when they leave • You only have 7 min total- every slide counts! • Minimize the amount of text on your slides • Check for consistency in the appearance of your slides- color, font, etc.

  36. Presentation Tips- preparation cont’: From: “Scientifically Speaking- available on class website

  37. Presentation Tips- preparation cont’: You only have 7 min total- every slide counts! Minimize words Be considerate of others, make sure your talk will fit in the alloted time Practice, practice, practice

  38. Presentation Tips: The delivery Talk to the audience, not the board Give a roadmap of your talk at the beginning Do not read your presentation verbatim

  39. More Presentation Tips http://www.projectionnet.com/styleguide/PresentationStyleGuide.aspx

  40. Energy Resources EIA Annual Energy Outlook, 2010

  41. Things to Ponder… • The age of oil will not end • for lack of hydrocarbon resources. • Technology will take us in new directions. • Need radical shift away from: • internal combustion engine • pulverized coal-fired power plants • But, must be done as technology allows. • Rushing will cost dearly. • Invest heavily – BUT CAREFULLY – in renewable energy alternatives. The challenge: SCALE of consumption and of technology.

  42. Some perspective (a matter of scale) 1 CMO* - what the world consumes in one year 3 CMO – total world annual energy consumption Alternative Replacements for 1 CMO Data from: Crane, Hewitt; Edwin Kinderman and Ripudaman Malhotra (June 2010). A Cubic Mile of Oil. Oxford University Press

  43. Energy Resources OECD - The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development - an international economic organization of 33 countries founded in 1961 to stimulate economic progress and world trade. It defines itself as a forum of countries committed to democracy and the market economy, providing a setting to compare policy experiences, seeking answers to common problems, identifying good practices, and co-ordinating domestic and international policies of its members. Australia  Austria  Belgium  Canada  Chile  Czec Republic  Denmark  Finland  France  Germany  Greece  Hungary   Iceland  Ireland  Israel  Italy  Japan  South Korea  Luxembourg  Mexico  Netherlands  New Zealand  Norway   Poland  Portugal  Slovakia  Slovenia  Spain  Sweden  Switzerland  Turkey  United Kingdom  United States   EIA - the statistical and analytical agency within the U.S. DoE. US premier source of energy info. EIA collects, analyzes, and disseminates independent and impartial energy information to promote sound policymaking, efficient markets, and public understanding of energy and its interaction with the economy and the environment. EIA is the and, by law, its data, analyses, and forecasts are independent of approval by any other officer or employee of the United States Government. NPC – National Petroleum Council. Established 1946 at request of Truman. Now part of DoE and is a Federal Advisory Commitee

More Related