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Student Contribution to the Cost of Higher Education in the United States. Multinational Higher Education Forum March 17, 2006 Paul Lingenfelter, President, SHEEO. Carnegie Commission on Higher Education, 1973. Economic costs, including the net loss of potential income to students.
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Student Contribution to the Cost of Higher Education in the United States Multinational Higher Education Forum March 17, 2006 Paul Lingenfelter, President, SHEEO
Economic costs, including the net loss of potential income to students Public sources & philanthropy Students & parents Carnegie Commission on Higher Education, 1973 Monetary outlays for the educational and living expenses of students Students & parents Public sources & philanthropy
Carnegie Commission on Higher Education, 1973 • Equity of opportunity • Additional public investments in need-based student assistance • Charging progressively higher fees for advanced undergraduate and graduate instruction • Developing more progressive tax systems • Narrowing the “gap” between student costs in public and private institutions
Important developments since 1973 U.S. Student Assistance, 2004-2005 Source: College Board
Important developments since 1973 Growing Tuition and Fees – Constant (2005) Dollars Source: College Board
Important developments since 1973 Earnings Premium of a College Degree 88% Premium above High School Credential 50%
Important developments since 1973 Enrollment Growth and Public Higher Education Appropriations per FTE U.S., Fiscal 1981-2005 Source: SHEEO SHEF
New Hampshire Massachusetts South Carolina North Carolina United States South Dakota Pennsylvania North Dakota West Virginia Rhode Island New Mexico Connecticut Washington New Jersey Tennessee Mississippi Minnesota Wisconsin Oklahoma New York Nebraska Louisiana Delaware California Arkansas Kentucky Maryland Colorado Michigan Alabama Montana Vermont Missouri Georgia Nevada Arizona Kansas Oregon Virginia Indiana Alaska Hawaii Florida Illinois Texas Maine Idaho Iowa Utah Ohio Important developments since 1973 Projected State and Local Budget Deficits as a Percent of Revenues, 2013 Source: NCHEMS; Don Boyd (Rockefeller Institute of Government), 2005
$9212 $9126 Important developments since 1973 Total Educational Revenues per FTE by Component, U.S., Fiscal 1991-2005 Source: SHEEO SHEF
Six Largest States Diversity Among the States State Undergraduate Grant Aid per Undergraduate Student by State, 2003-04 Source: National Association of State Student Grant & Aid Programs
Six Largest States Diversity Among the States Total Educational Revenues per Student by State, Fiscal 2005 Source: SHEE SHEF
Six Largest States Diversity Among the States Net Tuition as a Percent of Public Higher Education Total Educational Revenues by State, Fiscal 2005 Source: SHEE SHEF
Six Largest States Diversity Among the States Annual Tuition and Required Fees at Public Flagship Universities by State, 2005-06 Source: 2005-06: Tuition and Fee Rates: A National Comparison, Washington Higher Education Coordinating Board.
Six Largest States Diversity Among the States Annual Tuition and Required Fees at Public Community Colleges by State, 2005-06 Source: 2005-06: Tuition and Fee Rates: A National Comparison, Washington Higher Education Coordinating Board.
Six Largest States Diversity Among the States Enrollment in Public Community Colleges as a Percent of Fall 2004 Headcount by State Source: IPEDS
Six Largest States Diversity Among the States Enrollment in Private Institutions as a Percent of Fall 2004 Headcount by State Source: IPEDS
Current Challenges College Participation by SES Status Source: Access Denied, Department of Education, February 2001
Current Challenges Year-to-Year Change in U.S. Population, 2002-2020 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Non-Hispanic White18% Hispanic 49% Non-Hispanic Black16% Native American1% Asian/Pacific Islander 16% Current Challenges New 18-24 Year Olds by Race Source: Demography and the Future of Higher Education Policy, Richard Fry, April 2001
Public 75% Private, not-for-profit 20% Private, for profit 5% Current Challenges Growth of the For-Profit Sector
The Crystal Ball The more things change, the more they stay the same. The upward spiral in costs will moderate, not end. The “secular trend” toward higher fees will continue: the middle class will protect its interests.
The Crystal Ball Enrollments will grow at lower cost, less selective and for-profit institutions. Need-based financial aid will be combined with academic standards. No Child Left Behind – If affordable
Contact Information Paul Lingenfelter President, SHEEO paul@sheeo.org 303-541-1605