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Megújuló energia világtrendek, 3. ipari forradalom

Megújuló energia világtrendek, 3. ipari forradalom. GreenTech Megújuló Energia Klaszter , 2012. június 28. Aquamarina Szálloda és Rendezvényhajó 1031, Rozgonyi Piroska utcai hajókikötő. Renewables 10 Facts and Trends „ Age of Adulthood ”.

maris-lambert
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Megújuló energia világtrendek, 3. ipari forradalom

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  1. Megújuló energia világtrendek, 3. ipari forradalom GreenTech Megújuló Energia Klaszter, 2012. június 28. Aquamarina Szálloda és Rendezvényhajó 1031, Rozgonyi Piroska utcai hajókikötő .

  2. Renewables 10 Facts and Trends „Age of Adulthood” 1. Growing Political Support: 2011 at least 118 countries had some type of policy target or renewable support policy at national level (in 2005 only 55 countries) 2. Fastest Growing Market: Last 5 years (2005-2010) total global capacity of many renewables (solar, wind, biofuels,..) grew at average rates from 15% to 50% annually! 3. Increasing Investments: Total investment in RES reached $211 billion in 2010 up from $160 billion in 2009 (GDP of Hungaryis $190 billion (2010))

  3. 4. More and more Jobs: Globally, there are more than 3.5 million direct jobs (additional indirect jobs well beyond this figure) 5. Geographical diversification: RES is not a play of the Rich anymore! China attracted 1/3 of the investment, it was top wind installer, solar thermal systems, hydropower producer. India 5th in wind power capacity, Brazil getting bigger in ethanol, wind, hydropower, biomass. 6. Substantially growing energy share: RES delivered 20% of global electricity supply (16 % final energy consumption) in 2010. By 2011 will be ¼ of the global power capacity from all sources! 7. Huge Public Financial Interest:More public money went to RES through Development Banks then Government stimulus packages. In many countries it is a popular investment for the middle-class savings.

  4. 8. Remarkable Public support: The RES are far the most popular energy producing technologies. (80% in Hungarians supports the RES) 9. Significant technological development: R&D&I Technological improvement with 2 digits/annum. Bigger in size, better performance, growing efficacy and efficiency. 10. Significantly reducing costs: Breakdown in most of RES installation price, in the system price and in the unit price ($/W), cheaper energy production costs.

  5. RenewableEnergy Market Global Outlook

  6. Rapidly growing RES share 1. Biomass 2. Hydropower 3. RES Heating 4. RES Electricity 5. Biofuels

  7. New InstalledCapacity half of newlyinstalledelectriccapacityworldwide! MW

  8. 35 Year WindPower Evolution

  9. WindPower Enecron 126 With 7,58 MW (2007)

  10. NextGenerationWindturbines GE turbineplan by 2012 High 300 m Diameter : 360 m 4 MW

  11. EU WP Capacity Top list: Germany 27 214 MW Spain: 20 760 MW France 6 080 MW Italy 5 814 MW (17) Hungary 293 MW

  12. WindPower World LargestWind Farm GansuWind Farm 5,160 MW by 2010, 12,710 MWby 2015 20,000 MW in2020

  13. 10 Year Solar Power Evolution

  14. Solar Photovoltaic Power Total PV installations worldwide have reached 40GW (2010)In 2011 27 GW newcapacitywasinstalled !!!!Total 67GW (2011) and Italy is the front runnerwith 33% and Germanythe 2nd with 29% SOURCE: EPIC 2011 and EPIA 2012

  15. Cost of Solar PV„price of silicon-basedsolarpanelsfellfrom $1,80 per watt to 90 centsduringtheyear 2011” GridParitybefore 2020?

  16. PV Market: Chinese Manufacturers European Application

  17. Solar Thermal / Hot Water Collectors 70 million households + Schools, Hospitals, public buildings Total Global Capacity 185 GWth(2010) EU (2010) Top list: Germany 14 000 044 m2 Austria 4 610 000 m2 Greece 4 079 000 m2 Italy 2 503 000 m2 … (17) Hungary 101 264 m2

  18. - Salt (Andasol 150MW,… • Sinteticoil (SEGS 340 MW, …) Archimerdes CSP againstRomanfleetatSyracuse (Sicily) battle 1968 (Genoa-Italy)1MW ParabolicTroughPlants (50-300 MW) SolarPowerPower (10-50 MW) StirlingDish System (10-25 kW/e 500MW) FresnelReflectorStripplants (prototype) CSP ConcentratedSolarPower: Revolutioninthe EU!!! 2007-2010: 638 MW (98% in Spain) In 2011:+998 MW (mainly 50MW ParabTrough)

  19. 50 Yearsof Hydropower’sEvolution

  20. Elecricity from Hydropower Installedcapacity 20,300 MW ItaipuDam 14,000 MW Aprx.800,000 dams worldwide / 40,000 over 15m Existing global capacity: 1010 GW (2010) Huge Potencial: China and Brasil 100% hydropower: Namibia, Mozabique, Paraguay, etc.

  21. Ocean Energy Tidal and Wave Power 550 MW are installed (2010) 25 countries are involved

  22. 62 GW Biomass Power Capacity are installed (2010)

  23. Future of Biomass usage in the heating and cooling sector (Hungarian example) RES/Biomass+geo Coal Oil Gas Source: Hungarian Energy Strategy 2030

  24. Sustainable BiomassUsage? Pellet European Production European Import European Consumption Growing amount consumption and production of pellets, agro brick., wood chips, etc. Forestryin Hungary 1800-2008 Growing amount of Forests. In Hungary 700.000Ha are empty and useless for agricultural purposes

  25. 10 Yearsof Biofuel’s Evolution

  26. Biofuels only 2,7% of global road transport (2010: 105 billion liters) Oil consumption growing more than the biofuels production Bioethanol: Brazil &USA (88%) Biodiesel: Europe (49%) Blending Mandate: 31 country 29 province (states) Ethical problems: Food or energy? 2nd Generation Technology ( from lignin, hemicellulose and cellulose – green- or agro waste)

  27. 10 Yearsof GeothermalEvolution

  28. Geothermal Energy Sector: 9% growth/year Hydrothermal (heat) : 78 countries households, industry, agricultural sector, spa, balneology • Geothermal /electricity (hot rocks, EGS): 24 countries, • Global capacity: 11GW • CHP: Combined Heat and Power • Rapid growth in the use of ground-source Heat Pumps! • Households, publicbuildings

  29. Rural Renewable Energy

  30. Rural Renewable Energy Problems: 1,5 billion people lack access to electricity 3 billion people using (cook, heat) open fire (wood, straw, charcoal, …) Renewable technologies are providing access to energy services to the remote and Off-grid areas: Lighting, small electric needs (refrigerator) Communications (Tv, Radio, Mobil) Small industry • Heating and cooling • Cooking • Water pumping

  31. Military and Rescue Applications Mobil, rapid renewable energy mission modules

  32. Problems

  33. Storage of electricity producedbyWeatherDependentRenewableTechnologies (Wind, Solar, Wave,…) Energy Storage in Giant Battery • Energy Storage inHydroenergy Sodium–sulfur (NaS) battery Improved lead-acid, Redox flow (vanadium type) Zinc-bromide batteries. Classicalmetod „Money Printing Masine” A 6 MW NaS battery system in Japan ngkinsulaters

  34. Location (transmission) problem Distance between the Production and Usage of electricity Stromautobahn: HighVoltage, DirectCurrent Transmission Systems Technology (HVDC) Existing links  Under construction Proposed

  35. Financial Challenge: New Financial thinking is needed! GovernmentsubventionsintheEnergySector (Global) In 2007 aprx. 288 billion EUR subvention (IEA) Fossil Energy Support 77% = 222 billion EUR

  36. ThankYouforYourattentionKöszönöm a figyelmüket! Email: olajospeter@olajospeter.hu

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