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An Economics Data Layer

Built from three categories (market & nonmarket) Real Estate (Housing values) Tax assessor estimates Idyllwild and surrounding areas Recreation (Hiking and biking values) Travel cost method San Jacinto Wilderness Water Resources (Catchment areas value) Replacement cost method

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An Economics Data Layer

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  1. Built from three categories (market & nonmarket) Real Estate (Housing values) Tax assessor estimates Idyllwild and surrounding areas Recreation (Hiking and biking values) Travel cost method San Jacinto Wilderness Water Resources (Catchment areas value) Replacement cost method Lake Hemet An Economics Data Layer

  2. Built from three categories (market & nonmarket) Real estate (Housing values) Tax assessor estimates Idyllwild and surrounding areas Recreation (Hiking and biking values) Travel cost metho San Jacinto Wilderness Water Resources (Catchment areas value) Replacement cost method Lake Hemet An Economics Data Layer

  3. San Jacinto Ranger District Economic Data Layer Expected loss function Fire occurrence probability

  4. Costs and Benefits

  5. Costs and Benefits

  6. This methodology is a framework Need to Fix various FARSITE problems (‘freezing’, crashing, etc.) We want to turn gridded weather input back on in FARSITE Choosing more realistic random locations and times may help Better suppression rules & resources Unexpected results (e.g. treatments increasing area burned and/or loss) should be investigated We have to be careful interpreting the results Some Concluding Remarks

  7. WFDSSWildland Fire Decision Support System • fire spread probabilities USFS work in progress • Designed for use by other federal land agencies • Scaleable decision support tool for line officers • Includes modeling systems to predict and assess economic risk: FS-PRO, RAVAR • FS-PRO/RAVAR required for fire cost estimates >$10M

  8. Command-Line FARSITE Demo How FARSITE code was modified Input Debugging Output Driving script

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