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Developing a Project Tradeoff Framework. Silicon Valley Leadership Group May 5, 2008. What is a Regional Transportation Plan?. 25-year long range plan Guides transportation policies and investments for nine-county region Financially constrained (expenditures must match projected revenues)
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Developing a Project Tradeoff Framework Silicon Valley Leadership Group May 5, 2008
What is a Regional Transportation Plan? • 25-year long range plan • Guides transportation policies and investments for nine-county region • Financially constrained (expenditures must match projected revenues) • Projects must be in the plan to receive state and federal funds
Growth • Nearly 2 million more people • 1.8 million new jobs • Need for over 700,000 new homes • A tripling in freight volumes
Commuters Crisscross Region Counties and regional gateways daily trips will increase: • 35% increase in regional trips • Interregional Gateways fastest growing – 65% to 125%
Challenges Ahead • Keep our roads and transit in good repair • Squeeze more efficiency out of our system • Build new infrastructure where needed • Support FOCUS communities • Reduce greenhouse gas emissions and respond to warming impacts already in motion • Harness power of the market place and cutting-edge technology • Make equitable investments for all Bay Area residents
Uncommitted Regional Discretionary Funds (escalated $ in billions) $30 billion total
Available Revenues vs. Project Requests(escalated $ in billions)
Potential Investment Theme Approaches 3 E’s Equity Environment Economy Goals Maintenance/ Safety/ Security Reliability/ Efficient Freight (Congestion Reduction) Clean Air/ Climate Protection Access/ Focused Growth Clean Air/ Climate Protection
Potential High Priority Projects by Theme(Illustrative – not an exhaustive listing) Goals Potential Projects
Maintenance Investment Assumptions: High: Roads- MTS Pavement/non-Pave. Transit- Score 16+ Signif. RTIP funds used for maint. Medium: Roads- MTS Pavement only Transit- Vehicle Focus Some RTIP may be needed for maint. Low: Roads- Arterial Pavement Only Transit- Vehicle focus (extended life) No RTIP needed for maint.
T-2030 vs. T-2035 ShortfallsTransit Score 16+ and MTS Road Pavement/Non-Pavement(Escalated $ in billions)
Freeway Operations Capital cost: $1.3 billion • Complete ramp metering and traffic operations system • Limited carpool lane gap closures • Complete traffic signal coordination • Maintenance and replacement
What is FOCUS? • Local-regional partnership • Voluntary and incentive-based • Priority Development Areas • Compact growth in existing communities • About 50 jurisdictions • 395,000 additional housing units by 2035 • 45% of projected regional growth • Priority Conservation Areas • Regionally significant open spaces • Broad consensus for protection • Target for short-term public investment