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Wall Street Forum Prep

Wall Street Forum Prep. Ash Pabalkar Finance Club 9/16/05. Objective. Strong showing at WSF and to make sure everyone makes the most of our time in New York. Agenda. 1. WSF S&T schedule 2. WSF do’s and dont’s 3. Markets Discussion 4. Equities & Derivatives (Larry/Shin). 1. WSF S&T.

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Wall Street Forum Prep

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  1. Wall Street Forum Prep Ash Pabalkar Finance Club 9/16/05

  2. Objective Strong showing at WSF and to make sure everyone makes the most of our time in New York

  3. Agenda 1. WSF S&T schedule 2. WSF do’s and dont’s 3. Markets Discussion 4. Equities & Derivatives (Larry/Shin)

  4. 1. WSF S&T • How many of us are familiar with NY City? • No Michigan Time! 7AM means 7AM. • Directions, etc. will be posted on Finclub site soon • Dress is always formal

  5. 1. WSF S&T Schedule (contd.) Monday, Oct.24 • 09:00 - 11:00a.m.Morgan Stanley (1585 Broadway) Participants responsible for their own travel • 11AM - 12 noon: lunch break, proceed to meet bus outside UBS (299 Park Avenue) Participants responsible for their own travel • 1:30PM – 3:30PM: Deutsche Bank (60 Wall St) Chartered Bus • 4:30PM – 6:30PM: JP Morgan (277 Park Ave) Chartered Bus

  6. 1. WSF S&T Schedule (contd.) Tuesday, Oct.25 • 7:45AM: Bus leaves Park Central Hotel (7th Ave/56th St) • 8:30AM – 10:00AM: Goldman Sachs (180 Maiden Lane) Chartered Bus • 11:00AM – 1PM: Lehman Brothers (745 7th Ave) Chartered Bus • 2PM – 4PM: Citigroup (388 Greenwich St) Chartered Bus • 4:45 – 6:15: Either BOA or Bear Stearns Chartered Bus for Bear Stearns

  7. 1. WSF S&T Schedule (contd.) Wednesday, Oct.26 • 7AM: Meet at Grand Central Station (Main Concourse, by the information booth), tickets covered by club • 7:29AM: Catch the Metro North train to Stamford, arrives 8:18AM • 8:30AM – 10:15 AM: UBS Stamford, CT • 10:30AM: Catch the Metro North Grand Central Station, arrives 11:36AM at Grand Central • Walk to Lehman (~1.2 miles) • 12noon – 4PM: Lehman Trading Simulation (745 7th Ave)

  8. 2. WSF do’s and dont’s To do/carry list: • Book flight, hotel or friends • 3 sets of suits, shirts, shoes • Mint/breath freshener • Note Pad to take notes, Pen • Copies of resume on nice paper • Cheat sheet on each bank • Flash card containing 4 good, unique questions to ask each bank (Level 2&3)

  9. 2. WSF do’s and dont’s (contd.) To do/carry-list (contd.): • WSF schedule, directions sheet (website) • NYC subway map, street map • Cash on hand, metro card • Cellphone with 248-797-0807, other S&T people phone numbers stored in it (remember to switch off) • Warm overcoat over suit (London Fog, etc.) • Some energy bars, etc. you can put in your coat pocket. • Photo ID for security

  10. 2. WSF do’s and dont’s (contd.) Don’t: • Not be there at all • Be late (no MI time) • Stay late partying (except Wed night) • Show up under the influence of anything Do: Get a nice workout, you need the energy!

  11. 3. Markets this week • Refco Largest independet futures brokerage firm in US. $300M CEO scandal involving hidden debt resulted in 72% loss of stock value, junk status and arrested CEO • Could this lead to broader market problems? Financial derivatives markets, commodities felt pressure Goldman IPO, BOA, CSFB, DB lenders to Refco LTCM?

  12. 3. Markets this week (contd.) • CPI – Friday, Oct. 14 Sept CPI up 1.2%, fastest pace in 25 years due to surging energy prices and hurricane after effects Core CPI (ex-food and energy) up 0.1% for the fifth straight month • Is inflation a threat? Yes, this will likely reinforce expectations that the Fed will raise fed funds rate at its Nov.1 meeting • What’s going on in housing? Housing prices are 40% of the CPI, up 0.4% in Sept hotels and rent fell 0.1% and lodging fell 2.5% • Other sectors (auto, food, medical)? Auto Prices up 0.4%, Airline fares down 1.4%, Food up 0.3%, medical up 0.3%

  13. 3. Markets this week (contd.) • What’s going on with the Budget Deficit? In the fiscal year ended Sept.30, the government racked up a $318B deficit (forecast $341B), down 23% YOY, first annual decline since Bush took office in 2001 ($412 in fiscal ’04). 2.6% of GDP in ‘05 vs. 3.6% in ‘04 Hurricane recovery cost $4B, further red ink to follow • Trade Deficit?

  14. 4. Equities & Equity Derivatives Larry Thompson & Shintaro Kurita

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