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Facing the crisis : what reactions of LMP?. Phase I (2008-2010) Ambivalent trends - Some adaptations and deviations from the standard activation/ welfare to work framework … - Internal flexibility and employment maintenance - Income support policies (UI, minimum wage )
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Facing the crisis: whatreactions of LMP? Phase I (2008-2010) Ambivalent trends -Some adaptations and deviationsfrom the standard activation/welfare to workframework… -Internalflexibility and employment maintenance - Income support policies (UI, minimum wage) -But « activation » stillgoing on - Institutionalreforms (PES, one stop centres) - Focus on privatesector (ALMP programmes) - Welfare to workschemes Phase II (2010-?) At least in politicaldiscourse, one single orientation Fiscal austerity + wagemoderation+activation
Reactions of labour market policies: a typology Source :OECD, 2009 ; European Commission, 2009 ; Messenger, 2009 ; SPC, 2009 Erhel (2010) Document de travail CES
Reactions of labour marketpolicies: adaptations in 2010-2011 • Source: EEO, Quarterly Reports Executive Summary, september 2010
A crisis of the paradigm? -Clearsigns of radicalisation Strikingexamples in the threepresentations But also French debate (see « RSA » debate) Underlyingdiscourse: we have not gone far enough and shoulddeepen activation etc.! -But trends over the last 20 yearsevidence the failure of that model Indeed, it has been implemented: seeeven OECD indicators! EPL has gone down, traps have been reduced, indirect labour costsalso…) But verylimitedimprovement in LM performances (U, quality of work) and highcyclicalvulnerability in some countries + polarization and asymmetry (workers are paying) + forgotten promises (flexicurity) >>>A paradigm in crisis
Whatdynamics? -Twoways • Continuity>>>new crisis and social/politicalinstability in Europe • Anotherparadigm: but what components? EU 2020 Employment guidelines> focus on education Social investment? Green economy and sustainablegrowth? Quality of work/quality of life? Someelements but still not so consistent as the activation model…