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Climate Change - Entergy’s Strategy to Manage Risk. Carbon Disclosure Project Workshop February 27, 2007 Jeff Williams Mgr, Corporate Environmental Initiatives. Climate Change is the Defining Issue of Our Time. The Science is compelling Man is changing the climate in an unprecedented way
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Climate Change - Entergy’s Strategy to Manage Risk Carbon Disclosure Project Workshop February 27, 2007 Jeff Williams Mgr, Corporate Environmental Initiatives
Climate Change is the Defining Issue of Our Time • The Science is compelling • Man is changing the climate in an unprecedented way • We are seeing consequences today … left unchecked it will get much worse • Manage Regulatory Risk • Investors, Insurers and credit agencies want to know exposure • Manage Physical Risk Exposure to service territory, Adaptation • flooding from sea level rise & more intense storms • Health impacts, spread of tropical diseases • Impact on low income customers • Shape Policy Mitigation • Need price signals that internalize cost of carbon • Impending emission limitations on other pollutants; need for integrated approach • Create Opportunity in a carbon constrained economy • Invest wisely & grow shareholder equity
All Investments Expected to Contribute to Long-Term Value Creation Coastal Erosion The Business Case • As a company serving the Gulf Coast, Global Climate Change effects put at risk: • Billions of dollars of investment • Our customer base • Welfare of our employees, their families and our communities 1870 1839 Two Broad Climate Change Strategies 1993 2020 • Take Action to Reduce our impact on Global Climate Change • Aggressively advocate positive actions on Global Climate Change at all levels of government and within our communities Louisiana coast line loses 24 square miles a year.
Entergy’s Voluntary Greenhouse Gas Reduction Commitments • 2001, Entergy became the first electric generating company to establish a voluntary target to stabilize CO2 emissions at 2000 levels through 2005 • 2006 Entergy made second commitment to stabilize CO2 emissions at 20% below 2000 levels through 2010
Greenhouse Gas Reduction CommitmentProgress vs. Targets: 2001 - 2006 • 2001- 2006 exceeded goals by 20% • emissions now at or below 1990 levels
We Need Mandatory Climate Change Legislation • Demand for energy projected to increase by 50% over next 25 years; • Generation industry will need to place bets on long lived assets in next 5-10 years; • Price signals that internalize the cost of carbon are needed influence investment decisions in long lived assets
SUMMARY & CONCLUSIONS • Managing Regulatory risk by reducing CO2 emissions and intensity • Investing in efficiency improvements, • Increasing production from non-emitting nuclear units through capacity up-rates and increased capacity factors, • Increasing production from more efficient, low emitting combined cycle gas turbines; • Use of external offsets is critical to help meet GHG reduction targets • Shaping Policy to achieve meaningful Mitigation and correct price signals • Working with community to mitigate physical risks • Coastal wetlands restoration • Energy efficient rebuild of New Orleans • Communicate Strategy & Progress with Stakeholders
IPCC “Best Estimate” 2090 - 2099 Probability 95% 95% -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Probability Distribution – Global Average Surface Temperature Surface Temperature (o C) Adapted from IPCC AR4 Fig SPM 5
Probability Distribution – Sea Level Rise Excludes Land Ice Melt “Best Estimate” based on 3.4o temp. rise SLR double IPCC estimates & Land Ice Melt could add an additional 3-16 ft 2090 - 2099 Probability Included Land Ice Melt potential impact 36” per Oppenheimer 196” per Hanson 95% 95% 14 28 35 41 48 57 67 Sea Level Rise (inches) AR4 IPCC report without land ice melting = 7” –23” (TAR 4” – 35” from the land ice melt) Adapted from IPCC AR4 Fig SPM 5 – Using Rahmstorf Empirical Formula (Rahmstorf, et al 2007)
Areas Impacted by Storms Entergy Nuclear Utility HurricaneKatrina Category 4 Hurricane Rita Category 3
Recent hurricanes put a face on what life will be like if we fail to address Climate Change -
ETR restoration costs ~ $1.5 billionfor Katrina & Rita. Katrina – 1.1 million left without power, 800,000 Louisiana outages Over 300,000 Mississippi outages