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The uncertainty in predicting flash floods in the Mediterranean Storms: the role of an observational network Franco Siccardi Interuniversity Research Center on Environmental Monitoring of the Universities of Genova and Basilicata
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The uncertainty in predicting flash floods in the Mediterranean Storms: the role of an observational network Franco Siccardi Interuniversity Research Center on Environmental Monitoring of the Universities of Genova and Basilicata and Environmental Engineering Department of the University of Genova In August was the Jackal born The rains fell in September Now such a fearful flood as this Says he, I can’t remember. R.Kipling, Second Jungle Book, 1907 f.siccardi-alghero
2004? f.siccardi-alghero
time and space scales 22/09/1992 - 10.45 debris at bridge pier flooding starts bed scouring 22/09/1992 - 15.30 22/09/1992 - 15.40 22/09/1992 - 15.45 extensive flooding bridge collapsed f.siccardi-alghero
time and space scales La Barbera, P.; Lanza, L. G. 2001 On the cumulative area distribution of natural drainage basins along a coastal boundaryWater Resour. Res. Vol. 37 , No. 5 , p. 1503 f.siccardi-alghero
uncertainty at the meteo scale interface f.siccardi-alghero
Single Site DETERMINISTIC PROBABILISTIC GCM EPS LAM LEPS Downscaling DHM f.siccardi-alghero Forecasted Hydrograph CDF of peak flow
multicatchment distributed warning f.siccardi-alghero
Multi-catcment approach PROBABILISTIC EPS LEPS Downscaling Exceedence probability curves DHM f.siccardi-alghero