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Does Slow & Steady Win the Race? Residential Housing in 2014. Dr. Jim Gilkeson, CFA CFA Society of Orlando February 27, 2014. Where We’ve Been. 2005: Is the Sky Falling? 2007: What a Difference a Year Makes 2008: Where Do We Go From Here? 2009: Reading the Tea Leaves
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Does Slow & Steady Win the Race?Residential Housing in 2014 Dr. Jim Gilkeson, CFA CFA Society of Orlando February 27, 2014
Where We’ve Been • 2005: Is the Sky Falling? • 2007: What a Difference a Year Makes • 2008: Where Do We Go From Here? • 2009: Reading the Tea Leaves • 2010: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly • 2012: Have We Hit Bottom? • 2013: (Very) Cautious Optimism • 2014: Will Slow & Steady Win the Race? Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
What We’ll Talk About Today • Price • Volume (Sales) • Delinquency/Foreclosure • Financing • Supply • Demand • Scorecard Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
Prices (actual & constant quality) Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
Home Prices New homes Existing homes Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
Repeat Sales Indices Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
FHFA (all): US, FL, Orlando Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
Florida Price Appreciation Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
Sales Volume (US) Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
Sales Volume (local) Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
Orlando Sales and Prices Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
Bank Problem Loans Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
Mortgage Deliquencies (US) Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
Foreclosures Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
Seriously Delinquent (MSA) Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
Conventional Mortgage Rate Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
Net Home Mortgage Lending Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
FHA Share of Financings Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
Orlando: Financing Sources Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
Housing Starts Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
Housing Market Index Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
Household Wealth Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
Affordability Index (income/cost) Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
Consumer Confidence Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
National Housing Survey Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
National Housing Survey Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
National Housing Survey Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA
Scorecard Jim Gilkeson, PhD, CFA