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DO WE REALLY NEED TO WORRY ABOUT WMDS? What is a “weapon of mass destruction”? Why are they “different”? Is the classification WMD an example of hegemony? Why do some states get to have them?
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DO WE REALLY NEED TO WORRY ABOUT WMDS? What is a “weapon of mass destruction”? Why are they “different”? Is the classification WMD an example of hegemony? Why do some states get to have them? Some key terms: Deployed vs. actual warheads, ICBM’s, MIRVs, sub-launched, NPT, ABM, megatons: *Hiroshima bomb: equiv of 12.5 kilotons of TNT killed approximately a quarter of a million people; *US – USSR 1960s: 77,000 deployed bombs with a maximum load of 25 megatons
DO WE REALLY NEED TO WORRY ABOUT WMDS? Why do states want them? The push of history and the ethics of sovereignty The problem of using a great powers system: Iraq vs. North Korea Security dilemmas and offense vs. defensive issues Verification issues Prestige and great power issues
HOW CAN WE LIMIT WMDS? Macro strategies to limit: deterrence, reciprocity, and identity Methods used on the ground (tactics): Numerical restrictions (SALT treaties) Categorical restrictions (mines, cluster bombs, ABM) Development, testing restrictions (NPT and anti test treaties) Geographic restrictions (Latin America = no nuke zone) Transfer restrictions (nukes: missile, fissile material, and technology)?
CAN INTL. REGIMES SAVE US FROM WMDS? How have we historically worked together to protect the world from WMDs? A mixture of treaties and norms [e.g.: Chemical weapons use bans, nuclear deterrence & parity (MAD), and the ABM Treaty (1972)] How do we stop WMDs now? (1) Non-proliferation Treaty (1968/1995) & the IAEA, (2) the Missile Technology Control Regime (1995), and the (3) CTBT (1996, 146 states have signed, but not us), bilateral agreements Norms and tipping: How long before lots of countries have WMDs? Think about when regimes form So much for the ABM treaty…Can joint missile shields save us? (Collectively dealing with rogue states & nuclear terrorism)