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Mutual funds products. Exchange traded funds. Fund of funds. Stock index ... regulatory authority, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) continues to ...
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Slide 1: WELCOME TOPRESENTATIONONSTATE OF INDIAN CAPITAL MARKET
by. G .N. Bajpai Former - Chairman SECURITIES & EXCHANGE BOARD OF INDIA & LIFE INSURANCE CORPORATION OF INDIA On 14th OCTOBER ‘2005 At US – IVCA Palo – Alto, LA
Slide 2:STRUCTURE OF PRESENTATON
State of the Market Drivers Economic Factors Macro Global Micro Market Efficiency Regulators Philosophy Perspective Prescriptive Potential
Slide 3:STATE OF MARKET
Market Performance Ratios Volume Number of trades Amount Market Capitalization FII Investment
Slide 4:MARKET PERFORMANCE
Slide 5:MARKET PERFORMANCE
Slide 6:RATIOS
Slide 7:NUMBER OF TRANSACTIONS A COMPARISON
Slide 8:STOCK INDEX FUTURES
Slide 9:SINGLE STOCK FUTURES
Slide 10:CAPITAL MARKET
Slide 11:EQUITY
Slide 12:DEBT
Slide 13:DEBT
Slide 14:FII INVESTMENT IN INDIA
Simple and speedy registration process Minimum registration formalities 792 FIIs registered as on 30.09.2005 2139 sub accounts registered as on 30.09.2005 Cumulative FII Investment- US$ 38.96 bn.
FII PARTICIPATION FII Investment in USD Mn. More than 80 new FIIs registered from April 2004….UN Pension Fund, CalPERSSlide 16:FII INVESTMENT
Slide 17:FII- COUNTRY OF ORIGIN
Slide 18:FII INVESTMENT
Slide 19:FII INVESTMENT IN INDIA
One of top growing economy…GDP growth rate of over 6% in last decade India among top 3 Asian investment destinations in “The 2005 World Investment Report” - UNCTAD Foreign portfolio investment of more than US $ 8 billion in the Years 2005 One of the best performing among emerging stock markets, in recent times
Slide 20:ECONOMIC FACTORS
Macro GDP growth Savings growth Interest rates Financial Stability Geo – political Growing Demand Global - Liquidity - Demand led growth
Slide 21:GDP GROWTH
Slide 22:GDP GROWTH
Slide 23:SAVINGS GROWTH
Slide 24:LIFE INSURANCE
Slide 25:LIFE INSURANCE
Slide 26:NON- LIFE INSURANCE
Slide 27:NON- LIFE INSURANCE
Slide 28:BANKING
Slide 29:BANKING ( Cont)
Slide 30:FINANCIAL STABILITY
Slide 31:FOREX RESERVE
Slide 32:ECONOMIC FACTORS
Micro Firms Profitability Cost of Capital Productivity enhancement Competitive edge Dismantling of Administered rate investment instruments
Slide 33:MARKET EFFICIENCY
METAMORPHOSED MARKET
Slide 34:METAMORPHOSED MARKET
Slide 35:MARKET STRUCTURE (JULY 31, 2005)
22 Stock Exchanges, 15 Subsidiaries Over 10000 Electronic Terminals at over 400 locations all over India. 9108 Stock Brokers and 14582 Sub brokers 9644 Listed Companies 2 Depositories and 483 Depository Participants 128 Merchant Bankers, 59 Underwriters 34 Debenture Trustees, 96 Portfolio Managers 83 Registrars & Transfer Agents, 59 Bankers to Issue 4 Credit Rating Agencies
Slide 36:MARKET STRUCTURE (AUGUST 31, 2004)
Venture Capital Funds 21 Foreign 61 Domestic 38 Mutual Funds And 479 Schemes Asset Base: US $ 44.94 bn. 739 Foreign institutional investors Cumulative FII investment - US$ 36.76 bn
Slide 37:METAMORPHOSED MARKET
Slide 38:STOCK INDEX FUTURES
Slide 39:SINGLE STOCK FUTURES
Slide 40:Quote from the Economic Survey 2003-04 Government of India
“ The securities markets have made enormous progress in recent years. India’s equity market is now being increasingly recognized as a success story on the world scale”
Slide 41:METAMORPHOSED MARKET
Slide 42:INDIAN DISCLOSURE STANDARDS
Initial and Continuous Disclosures norms of global standards “ India scores 100% as far as disclosure standards are concerned ” (What works in Securities Laws?: Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez- de-Silanes, Andrei Shleifer. www.nber.org/papers/w9882)
Slide 43:INDIAN ACCOUNTING STANDARDS
Indian Accounting Standards: ‘Principle’ based. Aligned to International Accounting Standards. “In terms of consolidation, segmental reporting, deferred tax accounting and related party transactions, the gap between Indian and US GAAP is minimal.” (CLSA - CG Watch; September 2004)
Slide 44:INDIAN ACCOUNTING STANDARDS
Indian Accounting Standards – ‘Principle’ based. Aligned to International Accounting Standards. Indian Accounting Standards score a maximum of 3 according to CALPERS’ Permissible Equity Market Analysis (Disclosure Quality and Emerging Market Mutual Fund Investment: Reena Aggarwal, Leora Klapper, Peter D. Wysocki http://www.worldbank.org/research/bios/lklapper/mutual%20funds_AKW.pdf)
Slide 45:Quote from The Economic Intelligence Unit 2003 Study : Asian experience
“Top of the Country class, as might be expected is Singapore followed by Hong Kong and, somewhat surprisingly, India where overall disclosure standards have improved dramatically, accounting differences between local and US standards have been minimized and the number of companies with a majority of independent directors has risen significantly.”
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“India’s stock market regulatory authority, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) continues to raise the bar for good corporate governance.”
Slide 48:METAMORPHOSED MARKET
Slide 49:METAMORPHOSED MARKET
Slide 50:CLEARING SYSTEM
CENTRAL COUNTERPARTY clears all trades, determines obligations of members, arranges for pay-in of funds/securities, receives funds/ securities, arranges for pay-out of funds/ securities to members, guarantees settlement, and collects and maintains margins
Slide 51:METAMORPHOSED MARKET
Indian Settlement System conforms to: CPSS-IOSCO Principles & G-30 Recommendations
Slide 52:T+2 SETTLEMENT SYSTEM
Slide 53:METAMORPHOSED MARKET
Slide 54:DYNAMIC RISK MANAGEMENT SYSTEM
Capital adequacy norms Trading and Exposure limits Margin requirements VaR based margins Mark-to-Market margin Index-based market-wide Circuit breakers Settlement guarantee fund On-line position monitoring Automatic disablement of Brokers’ terminal
Slide 55:Quote from Financial Times
“World’s biggest democracy can show Google how to conduct an online IPO” ….in India you cannot apply on the web but investors can access one of the world’s largest financial networks with 7000 terminals scattered around 350 cities. And every step of the book building process is public. …The Indian system is a refreshing example of a transparent IPO market but it is also a rare one, especially in the insider-friendly Asian markets”
Slide 56:REGULATORY PHILOSOPHY
MANDATE
Slide 57:MANDATE
“PROTECT THE INTEREST OF INVESTORS IN SECURITIES AND TO PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF, AND TO REGULATE, THE SECURITIES MARKET AND FOR MATTERS CONNECTED THEREWITH OR INCIDENTAL THERETO” SEBI Act. EMERGENCE OF REGULATORY PHILOSOPHY Regulator’s focus should not be on the regulations but on the development of the Market. Regulations happen to be incidental to the developments.
Slide 58:PERSPECTIVE
PRESCRIPTIVE POTENTIAL
Slide 59:PRESCRIPTIVE
Market Depth Product Diversification Mortgage Backed Securities Assets Backed securities Warrants Vibrancy of Bond markets Co-ordination between trading platforms and OTC markets Disinvestment Market integration-convergence of Securities and Commodities markets Consolidation of regulation over listed companies Consolidated regulation over intermediaries Broadening market participation
Slide 60:PRESCRIPTIVE
Capacity Building–Regulator and Industry-pillars of scalability and quality of intermediation Balance between Costs of regulation and market development Co-operation with Regulators–cross border and cross jurisdiction-building common standards of regulations
Slide 61:POTENTIALS
Macro financial stability High Forex Reserve Low inflation Low interest rates High GDP Growth Projection Growing Prosperity Demand Disposable Incomes New breed Indian (global) entrepreneurs Indian Capital Market have the potential to deliver high rate of returns in medium to long duration.
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THANK YOU